Results 141 to 150 of about 105,613 (301)
British Journal of Mathematical and Statistical Psychology, EarlyView.Abstract The stationary autoregressive model forms an important base of time‐series analysis in today's psychology research. Diverse nonstationary extensions of this model are developed to capture different types of changing temporal dynamics. However, researchers do not always have a solid theoretical base to rely on for deciding a‐priori which of ...
Yong Zhang +4 more
wiley +1 more source
Local Search and the Evolution of World Models
Topics in Cognitive Science, EarlyView., 2023 Abstract An open question regarding how people develop their models of the world is how new candidates are generated for consideration out of infinitely many possibilities. We discuss the role that evolutionary mechanisms play in this process. Specifically, we argue that when it comes to developing a global world model, innovation is necessarily ...
Neil R. Bramley +3 more
wiley +1 more source
PUNTOS DE GIRO EN LA ECONOMÍA ARGENTINA
Revista de Economía Política de Buenos Aires, 2017 RESUMEN En este artículo se utilizan diferentes técnicas para identificar los períodos recesivos y expansivos de la economía argentina que permitan establecer una cronología cíclica robusta en función de resultados proporcionados por diferentes métodos.
Cristian Rabanal
doaj
Markov Switching Model for Quick Detection of Event Related Desynchronization in EEG. [PDF]
Front Neurosci, 2018 Lisi G, Rivela D, Takai A, Morimoto J.
europepmc +1 more source
Realised and Optimal Monetary Policy Rules in an Estimated Markov-Switching DSGE Model of the United Kingdom [PDF]
This paper conducts a systematic investigation of parameter instability in a small open economy DSGE model of the UK economy over the past thirty-five years.
Ronald MacDonald, Xiaoshan Chen
core
Power priors for latent variable mediation models under small sample sizes
British Journal of Mathematical and Statistical Psychology, EarlyView.Abstract Latent variable models typically require large sample sizes for acceptable efficiency and reliable convergence. Appropriate informative priors are often required for gainfully employing Bayesian analysis with small samples. Power priors are informative priors built on historical data, weighted to account for non‐exchangeability with the ...
Lihan Chen +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Forecasting Time Series with Long Memory and Level Shifts, A Bayesian Approach [PDF]
Recent studies have showed that it is troublesome, in practice, to distinguish between long memory and nonlinear processes. Therefore, it is of obvious interest to try to capture both features of long memory and non-linearity into a single time series ...
Silvestro Di Sanzo
core
British Journal of Mathematical and Statistical Psychology, EarlyView.Abstract Although individuals may exhibit both gradual and abrupt changes in their dynamic properties as shaped by both slowly accumulating influences and acute events, existing statistical frameworks offer limited capacity for the simultaneous detection and representation of these distinct change patterns.
Yanling Li +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Application of Three Alternative Approaches to Identify Business Cycles in Peru [PDF]
Three alternative econometric approaches are used to estimate business cycles in the Peruvian economy. These approaches are the Plucking model due to Friedman (1964, 1993), the Markov Switching model proposed by Hamilton (1989) and the Smooth Transition ...
Rodriguez Gabriel
core
Untangling nutrient co‐regulation of ombrotrophic peatland development
Boreas, EarlyView.Multi‐method (FTIR, FT‐NIR and TGA) approaches characterizing the organic peat constituents at Holcroft Moss reveal a record of switches that reflect broadly hydroclimate variability governing the decomposition patterns. There are periods, however, where hydroclimate does not fully explain the variability observed and instead changes appear linked to ...
Richard C. Chiverrell +6 more
wiley +1 more source