Results 11 to 20 of about 13,400 (267)
A Markov-Switching Model of Inflation in Bolivia [PDF]
Economies, 2021 The Bolivian inflation process is analyzed utilizing a time-varying univariate and multivariate Markov-switching model (TMS). With monthly data and, beginning in the late 1930s, inflation is accurately described by a univariate TMS. The intercept for the
Antonio N. Bojanic
doaj +3 more sources
Markov-Switching MIDAS Models [PDF]
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2013 This article introduces a new regression model—Markov-switching mixed data sampling (MS-MIDAS)—that incorporates regime changes in the parameters of the mixed data sampling (MIDAS) models and allows for the use of mixed-frequency data in Markov-switching models.
MARCELLINO, MASSIMILIANO, P. Guerin
openaire +6 more sources
The Markov Switching ACD Model [PDF]
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2002 We propose a new framework for modelling time dependence in duration processes on financial markets. The well known autoregressive conditional duration (ACD) approach introduced by Engle and Russell (1998) will be extended in a way that allows the conditional expectation of the duration process to depend on an unobservable stochastic process, which is ...
Hujer, Reinhard +2 more
openaire +2 more sources
Granger-Causality in Markov Switching Models [PDF]
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2006 In this paper we propose a new parametrisation of transition probabilities that allows us to characterize and test Granger-causality in Markov switching models by means of an appropriate specification of the transition matrix. Test for independence are also provided. We illustrate our methodology with an empirical application.
BILLIO, Monica, DI SANZO S.
openaire +3 more sources
Markov-switching generalized additive models [PDF]
Statistics and Computing, 2015 We consider Markov-switching regression models, i.e. models for time series regression analyses where the functional relationship between covariates and response is subject to regime switching controlled by an unobservable Markov chain. Building on the powerful hidden Markov model machinery and the methods for penalized B-splines routinely used in ...
Roland Langrock +3 more
openaire +5 more sources
Modeling and forecasting of rainfall reoccurrence changes using Markov Switching in Iran
SN Applied Sciences, 2021 This paper represents the recurrence (reoccurrence) changes in the rainfall series using Markov Switching models (MSM). The switching employs a dynamic pattern that allows a linear model to be combined with nonlinearity models a discrete structure.
Majid Javari
doaj +1 more source
Markov Switching Model for Financial Time Series [PDF]
Ovidius University Annals: Economic Sciences Series, 2021 Modeling financial time series is an important step for its forecast and risk evaluation when financial assets are involved. In this context, this article presents a Markov Switching Model for BET series recorded during the period Oct-2000 - Sept-2014 ...
Alina Barbulescu +1 more
doaj
Frontiers in Energy Research, 2021 The rapid development of wind energy has brought a lot of uncertainty to the power system. The accurate ultra-short-term wind power prediction is the key issue to ensure the stable and economical operation of the power system.
Hang Fan +3 more
doaj +1 more source
Portfolio selection using risk parity and factor analysis under markov regime-switching prope [PDF]
تصمیم گیری و تحقیق در عملیات, 2022 Purpose: Risk parity is one of the stock portfolio selection models that has received a lot of attention since the US national financial crisis in 2008. The philosophy of this model is to allocate an equal amount of portfolio risk between the assets.
Ebrahim Mirmohammadi +3 more
doaj +1 more source
Assessing Brazilian macroeconomic dynamics using a Markov-switching DSGE model
EconomiA, 2016 The goal of this paper is to evaluate the behavior of the main parameters of the Brazilian economy through the estimation of an open-economy dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model using Bayesian methods and allowing for Markov switching of ...
Caio César Soares Gonçalves +2 more
doaj +1 more source