Fad Models with Markov Switching Hetroskedasticity: Decomposing Tehran Stock Exchange Return into Permanent and Transitory Components [PDF]
In this paper, the stochastic behavior of Tehran stock exchange return index (TEDPIX) is examined by using unobserved component Markov switching model (UC-MS) during the period 3/27/2010 - 8/3/2015.
Teimour Mohammadi +3 more
doaj +1 more source
ABSTRACT Investors have long recognized the importance of firms in promoting sustainability, leading to the rise of socially responsible investment (SRI). Specifically, there is a growing preference for exchange‐traded funds (ETFs) that prioritize environmental, social, and governance (ESG) principles.
Sandra Tenorio‐Salgueiro +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Modeling systemic risk with Markov Switching Graphical SUR models [PDF]
zbMATH Open Web Interface contents unavailable due to conflicting licenses.
Bianchi, Daniele +3 more
openaire +3 more sources
Optimal dividends for a NatCat insurer in the presence of a climate tipping point
Abstract We study optimal dividend strategies for an insurance company facing natural catastrophe claims, anticipating the arrival of a climate tipping point after which the claim intensity and/or the claim size distribution of the underlying risks deteriorates irreversibly.
Hansjörg Albrecher +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Hidden Markov graphical models with state‐dependent generalized hyperbolic distributions
Abstract In this article, we develop a novel hidden Markov graphical model to investigate time‐varying interconnectedness between different financial markets. To identify conditional correlation structures under varying market conditions and accommodate shape features embedded in financial time series, we rely upon the generalized hyperbolic family of ...
Beatrice Foroni +2 more
wiley +1 more source
A Markov Switching Autoregressive Model with Time-Varying Parameters
This study showcased the Markov switching autoregressive model with time-varying parameters (MSAR-TVP) for modeling nonlinear time series with structural changes. This model enhances the MSAR framework by allowing dynamic parameter adjustments over time.
Syarifah Inayati, Nur Iriawan, Irhamah
doaj +1 more source
A Markov approach to credit rating migration conditional on economic states
Abstract We develop a model for credit rating migration that accounts for the impact of economic state fluctuations on default probabilities. The joint process for the economic state and the rating is modelled as a time‐homogeneous Markov chain. While the rating process itself possesses the Markov property only under restrictive conditions, methods ...
Michael Kalkbrener, Natalie Packham
wiley +1 more source
A Bayesian Markov-Switching Correlation Model for Contagion Analysis on Exchange Rate Markets
This article develops a new Markov-switching vector autoregressive (VAR) model with stochastic correlation for contagion analysis on financial markets.
R. Casarin, D. Sartore, M. Tronzano
semanticscholar +1 more source
Time Varying Transition Probabilities for Markov Regime Switching Models [PDF]
We propose a new Markov switching model with time‐varying transitions probabilities. The novelty of our model is that the transition probabilities evolve over time by means of an observation driven model. The innovation of the time‐varying probability is generated by the score of the predictive likelihood function. We show how the model dynamics can be
Marco Bazzi +3 more
openaire +5 more sources
When Dihedral Angles Mask Denticity in Molecular Conductance
This study tests whether higher molecule–electrode denticity increases conductance in single‐molecule junctions. Using nonequilibrium Green's function technique in conjunction with density functional theory simulations and mechanically controlled break‐junction experiments on a tetradentate N‐heterohexacene, it is found that conductance depends mainly ...
Kevin Batzinger +8 more
wiley +1 more source

