Results 11 to 20 of about 170 (97)
Economic Record, EarlyView.We study the effects of heat and high temperature shocks on inflation in Australia using monthly, state‐level temperature anomaly data via two stages. In the first stage, we decompose temperature anomalies into orthogonal components using a structural vector autoregression with long‐run restrictions.
Tan Dat Huynh, Mengheng Li
wiley +1 more source
Learning in the Limit: Income Inference from Credit Extensions
The Journal of Finance, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Combining a randomized controlled trial with administrative and survey data, this paper shows that credit limit extensions significantly increase total spending and income expectations. By controlling for changes in personal income expectations, the spending response to credit limit extensions weakens by approximately 30%.
XIAO YIN
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Journal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.ABSTRACT We propose a new formulation of the Vašičekmodel within the framework of functional data analysis. We treat observations (continuous‐time rates) within a suitably defined trading day as a single statistical object. We then consider a sequence of such objects, indexed by day.
Piotr Kokoszka +4 more
wiley +1 more source
On Selection of Cross‐Section Averages in Non‐Stationary Environments
Journal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Information criteria (ICs) have been widely used in factor models to estimate an unknown number of latent factors. It has recently been shown that ICs perform well in Common Correlated Effects (CCE) and related settings when selecting a set of cross‐section averages (CAs) sufficient for the factor space under stationary factors.
Jan Ditzen, Ovidijus Stauskas
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Penalized Convex Estimation in Dynamic Location Models
Journal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.ABSTRACT This paper studies L1$$ {L}^1 $$‐penalized estimation for location models yt=mt+ϵt$$ {y}_t={m}_t+{\epsilon}_t $$, where mt$$ {m}_t $$ is defined by a possibly non‐Markovian recursion and ϵt$$ {\epsilon}_t $$ is a martingale difference sequence with possibly time‐varying conditional variance.
Reda Alami Chentoufi
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Measure‐valued processes for energy markets
Mathematical Finance, Volume 35, Issue 2, Page 520-566, April 2025.Abstract We introduce a framework that allows to employ (non‐negative) measure‐valued processes for energy market modeling, in particular for electricity and gas futures. Interpreting the process' spatial structure as time to maturity, we show how the Heath–Jarrow–Morton approach can be translated to this framework, thus guaranteeing arbitrage free ...
Christa Cuchiero +3 more
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The fundamental theorem of asset pricing with and without transaction costs
Mathematical Finance, Volume 35, Issue 2, Page 567-609, April 2025.Abstract We prove a version of the fundamental theorem of asset pricing (FTAP) in continuous time that is based on the strict no‐arbitrage condition and that is applicable to both frictionless markets and markets with proportional transaction costs. We consider a market with a single risky asset whose ask price process is higher than or equal to its ...
Christoph Kühn
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Optimal Portfolio Choice With Cross‐Impact Propagators
Mathematical Finance, EarlyView.ABSTRACT We consider a class of optimal portfolio choice problems in continuous time where the agent's transactions create both transient cross‐impact driven by a matrix‐valued Volterra propagator, as well as temporary price impact. We formulate this problem as the maximization of a revenue‐risk functional, where the agent also exploits available ...
Eduardo Abi Jaber +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Reinforcement Learning for Jump‐Diffusions, With Financial Applications
Mathematical Finance, EarlyView.ABSTRACT We study continuous‐time reinforcement learning (RL) for stochastic control in which system dynamics are governed by jump‐diffusion processes. We formulate an entropy‐regularized exploratory control problem with stochastic policies to capture the exploration–exploitation balance essential for RL.
Xuefeng Gao, Lingfei Li, Xun Yu Zhou
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Equilibrium Reward for Liquidity Providers in Automated Market Makers
Mathematical Finance, EarlyView.ABSTRACT We find the equilibrium contract that an automated market maker (AMM) offers to their strategic liquidity providers (LPs) in order to maximize the order flow that gets processed by the venue. Our model is formulated as a leader–follower stochastic game, where the venue is the leader and a representative LP is the follower.
Alif Aqsha +2 more
wiley +1 more source