Results 21 to 30 of about 14,640 (111)

Ultraproducts and metastability [PDF]

, 2013
Given a convergence theorem in analysis, under very general conditions a model-theoretic compactness argument implies that there is a uniform bound on the rate of metastability.
Avigad, Jeremy, Iovino, José
core  

On Integral Priors for Multiple Comparison in Bayesian Model Selection

International Statistical Review, EarlyView.
Summary Noninformative priors constructed for estimation purposes are usually not appropriate for model selection and testing. The methodology of integral priors was developed to get prior distributions for Bayesian model selection when comparing two models, modifying initial improper reference priors. We propose a generalisation of this methodology to
Diego Salmerón, Juan Antonio Cano, Christian P. Robert   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Econometrics at the Extreme: From Quantile Regression to QFAVAR1

Journal of Economic Surveys, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper surveys quantile modelling from its theoretical origins to current advances. We organize the literature and present core econometric formulations and estimation methods for: (i) cross‐sectional quantile regression; (ii) quantile time series models and their time series properties; (iii) quantile vector autoregressions for ...
Stéphane Goutte, Konstantinos N. Konstantakis, Dimitris Konstantios, Panayotis G. Michaelides, Arsenios‐Georgios N. Prelorentzos   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Markov Determinantal Point Process for Dynamic Random Sets

Journal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT The Law of Determinantal Point Process (LDPP) is a flexible parametric family of distributions over random sets defined on a finite state space, or equivalently over multivariate binary variables. The aim of this paper is to introduce Markov processes of random sets within the LDPP framework. We show that, when the pairwise distribution of two
Christian Gouriéroux, Yang Lu
wiley   +1 more source

Time‐Varying Dispersion Integer‐Valued GARCH Models

Journal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We introduce a general class of INteger‐valued Generalized AutoRegressive Conditionally Heteroscedastic (INGARCH) processes by allowing simultaneously time‐varying mean and dispersion parameters. We call such models time‐varying dispersion INGARCH (tv‐DINGARCH) models.
Wagner Barreto‐Souza, Luiza S. C. Piancastelli, Konstantinos Fokianos, Hernando Ombao   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Robust CDF‐Filtering of a Location Parameter

Journal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper introduces a novel framework for designing robust filters associated with signal plus noise models having symmetric observation density. The filters are obtained by a recursion where the innovation term is a transform of the cumulative distribution function of the residuals.
Leopoldo Catania, Andrew C. Harvey, Alessandra Luati   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

A Note on Local Polynomial Regression for Time Series in Banach Spaces

Journal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This work extends local polynomial regression to Banach space‐valued time series for estimating smoothly varying means and their derivatives in non‐stationary data. The asymptotic properties of both the standard and bias‐reduced Jackknife estimators are analyzed under mild moment conditions, establishing their convergence rates.
Florian Heinrichs
wiley   +1 more source

Empirical‐Process Limit Theory and Filter Approximation Bounds for Score‐Driven Time Series Models

Journal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This article examines the filtering and approximation‐theoretic properties of score‐driven time series models. Under specific Lipschitz‐type and tail conditions, new results are derived, leading to maximal and deviation inequalities for the filtering approximation error using empirical process theory.
Enzo D'Innocenzo
wiley   +1 more source

Testing Distributional Granger Causality With Entropic Optimal Transport

Journal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We develop a novel nonparametric test for Granger causality in distribution based on entropic optimal transport. Unlike classical mean‐based approaches, the proposed method directly compares the full conditional distributions of a response variable with and without the history of a candidate predictor.
Tao Wang
wiley   +1 more source

Multiple Chains Markov Switching Vector Autoregression

Journal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Both the U.S. stock and bond returns exhibit distinct Markovian regimes. However, because these regimes display limited coherence, conventional models typically require highly parameterized systems to adequately capture their joint distribution.
Leopoldo Catania
wiley   +1 more source