Results 121 to 130 of about 4,980 (265)

Subseasonal Predictability of Weekly Rainfall and Rainy Season Onset Over East Africa

open access: yesInternational Journal of Climatology, EarlyView.
This study evaluates the subseasonal predictability of weekly rainfall and rainy season onset over East Africa using the ECMWF extended range forecast model. Results show strong skill in forecasting weekly rainfall up to 4 weeks ahead, with higher accuracy during the March–May ‘long rains’ season.
Emmah Mwangi   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Changing Water Resources in the Indus Basin: A Multi‐Model Budyko‐Based Analysis

open access: yesInternational Journal of Climatology, EarlyView.
Budyko‐based analysis evaluates historical (1962–2005) and future hydroclimatic change across the Indus River Basin. Budyko shifts indicate rising atmospheric evaporative demand and increasing energy limitation under future scenarios. ABSTRACT Assessing hydroclimatic variability and future water availability is crucial for sustainable water‐resource ...
Muhammad Arif   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Tracking Summer Greenland Blocking: The Upstream Pathway Shapes Historical Extremes and Future Change

open access: yesInternational Journal of Climatology, EarlyView.
This study investigates summer Greenland atmospheric blocking using the Lagrangian tracking Python package blocktrack applied to ERA5 reanalysis and CMIP6 models. Two types of blocks—upstream (Northern Canada origin) and retrograding (Northern Atlantic origin)—are distinguished, with upstream blocks driving recent observed frequency increasing trends ...
Michele Filippucci   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Bias Correction of ERA5 Temperature Across Five Topoclimatic Clusters: A Comparative Evaluation of Four Methods

open access: yesInternational Journal of Climatology, EarlyView.
ERA5 near‐surface temperature over South America exhibits systematic cold biases in daily maximum temperature and warm biases in daily minimum temperature. To address the continent's strong climatic and topographic heterogeneity, South America was partitioned into five topoclimatic clusters, and four bias‐correction approaches were evaluated. The Multi‐
José Roberto Rozante, Gabriela Rozante
wiley   +1 more source

Three-stage interpretability analysis of influenza virus and meteorological correlation in Jiuquan City, 2016-2025: SARIMAX + TreeSHAP. [PDF]

open access: yesFront Cell Infect Microbiol
Wang B   +9 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Spatial and Temporal Patterns of Extreme Hourly Rainfall in the Hawaiian Islands

open access: yesInternational Journal of Climatology, EarlyView.
The extreme rainfall trends in Hawaiʻi were revealed by hourly rainfall data: Across islands, Kauaʻi and Hawaiʻi Island had larger events at a return period. Annual maximum series of 15 gauges showed significant positive trends. While extreme rainfall trends show increases or decreases regionally, the trends varied with rainfall duration.
Maxime Gayte   +5 more
wiley   +1 more source

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