Results 201 to 210 of about 95,308 (265)

Climate Change Projections for Mexico in the 21st Century

open access: yesInternational Journal of Climatology, EarlyView.
Projected national temperature by the end of the century under four SSP scenarios. Under the low‐emission pathway (SSP1‐2.6), warming increases more gradually, whereas under the high‐emission scenario (SSP5‐8.5), temperatures exceed 5°C by 2100. These results strengthen the scientific basis for climate adaptation planning and long‐term decision‐making ...
Arhat Tejeda‐Aguilar   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Improving Daily Rainfall Downscaling Over Taiwan's Complex Terrain With Surface‐Wind‐Informed Deep Learning Model

open access: yesInternational Journal of Climatology, EarlyView.
An encoder–decoder architecture (EDA) dynamically downscales coarse‐resolution climate fields (0.25°) to high‐resolution outputs (0.05°) over Taiwan, improving the representation of fine‐scale spatial variability and localized extremes by incorporating both rainfall and surface winds to maintain physical consistency.
Yi‐Chi Wang   +5 more
wiley   +1 more source

Investigating the Impact of El Niño–Southern Oscillation on Rangeland Productivity in the Limpopo Province, South Africa

open access: yesInternational Journal of Climatology, EarlyView.
This study investigated ENSO effects on rainfall variability and rangeland productivity across Limpopo Province, South Africa, using DMP and ONI data for 1999–2024. Productivity was higher in eastern and southern regions and lower in northern and western regions.
Phumzile Maluleke   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Congo Air Boundary Breakdown Timing and Its Connection to Southern African Rainfall Onset in Reanalyses and Historical CMIP6 Models

open access: yesInternational Journal of Climatology, EarlyView.
The Congo Air Boundary (CAB) occurs where two air masses with different humidities meet over Africa. The CAB is investigated in three reanalyses, datasets combining observations with forecasts. Between 1980 and 2010, the reanalyses show that when the CAB reduces in daily frequency between August and December, rainfall over central southern Africa ...
Sophie Harbord   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Added Value of CESM‐Driven WRF for Mean and Extreme Precipitation Over Complex Terrain in Southwest Asia

open access: yesInternational Journal of Climatology, EarlyView.
Southwest Asia remains understudied in high‐resolution regional climate modelling despite its climatic sensitivity and complex orography. We compare WRF (10 km), CESM (~2°), and ERA5 (0.25°) for 1950–2002, with supplementary validation against CHIRPS and PERSIANN‐CDR. WRF corrects the unrealistic summer precipitation overestimation of CESM and improves
Markella Bouchorikou   +5 more
wiley   +1 more source

Assessment of the Exposure of Australia to Tropical Cyclones Through a Climatological Model for Cyclone Weather Extent

open access: yesInternational Journal of Climatology, EarlyView.
Australia has different levels of exposure to tropical cyclones. Using historical records, this study investigates the spatial variability of tropical cyclone formation across the Southeast Indian–South Pacific basin, quantifies the exposure of different parts of Australia to tropical cyclone weather events, and examines decadal variability in cyclone ...
Adolfo Lugo Ríos   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Short‐Term Agricultural Drought Prediction Using Explainable Data‐Driven Models and Quantified Uncertainty

open access: yesInternational Journal of Climatology, EarlyView.
This study demonstrates that explainable deep learning models can skilfully predict short‐term agricultural drought using standardized drought indices, capturing hydroclimatic memory and seasonal persistence. The integration of uncertainty quantification and SHAP‐based interpretability reveals the dominant role of antecedent moisture and climate ...
K. Saranya Das   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Shifting Patterns of Precipitation Extremes in the Southeast Atlantic Basin—Brazil: From Observed Trends to Future Projections

open access: yesInternational Journal of Climatology, EarlyView.
Observed trends and EC‐Earth3 climate model projections demonstrate expressive changes in the Southeast Atlantic Hydrographic Basin, Brazil. Significant increases in rainfall intensity and dry spell duration in the present climate are followed by projected amplification of extreme precipitation under future warming, particularly under the SSP5‐8.5 ...
Pedro Lucas Oliveira‐Santos   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

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