Meteorology and geography, more than biological traits, drive variation in frog phenology across decades. [PDF]
Klinges DH +3 more
europepmc +1 more source
Across the Maritime Continent, diurnal rainfall variability is governed by interactions between regional‐scale atmospheric drivers and local land–sea breeze circulations. Afternoon convection is initiated over land by surface heating and propagates offshore, whereas morning rainfall develops over adjacent seas and moves inland under low‐level northerly
Dony Christianto +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Distinct impacts of tropical North Atlantic warming flavors on cross-basin tropical cyclone activity. [PDF]
Zhao J +12 more
europepmc +1 more source
Overconfident sea ice forecasts pose a challenge in subseasonal prediction. To test a potential way to address this issue and account for sea ice model uncertainty, this article investigates a stochastically perturbed parametrisations (SPP) scheme for sea ice in a prototype CY49R2 configuration of the coupled IFS‐NEMO4‐SI3 system. The results show that
Jonas Spaeth +7 more
wiley +1 more source
Global warming amplifies atmospheric formaldehyde exposure and widens spatial inequality. [PDF]
Xue J +12 more
europepmc +1 more source
Attribution of subseasonal cold‐spell forecasts to remote drivers using nudging experiments
Nudging experiments with the European Centre for Medium‐Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) model show that Northern European cold spells can arise from different drivers. Some events are predominantly influenced by stratospheric dynamics, while others also involve important tropospheric processes.
Irene Erner +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Object‐based deep learning for probabilistic convective‐core nowcasting from satellite data
Convective cores detected from Meteosat infrared imagery are represented as compact physical objects to generate probabilistic nowcasts up to 6 h ahead. A spatio‐temporal transformer models interactions among evolving core populations and produces gridded probability forecasts across the western Sahel.
Mendrika Rakotomanga +5 more
wiley +1 more source
Polar and subpolar shelf seas dominate enhanced coastal CO<sub>2</sub> uptake during marine heatwaves. [PDF]
Hu Z +9 more
europepmc +1 more source
Synoptic and large‐scale drivers of extreme precipitation events in the Himalayas
Months associated with maximum frequency of extreme precipitation events (EPEs). 6102 extreme precipitation days (i.e., exceeding 99th percentile for daily precipitation) occurred across the Karakoram, Western Himalayas (WH), Central Himalayas (CH) and Eastern Himalayas (EH) during 1979 to 2023.
Priya Bharati +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Fast expansion and slow contraction of the ITCZ in response to CO<sub>2</sub> forcing. [PDF]
Zhang J, Kang SM.
europepmc +1 more source

