Results 201 to 210 of about 7,355 (309)

Increased contributions of climate-driven wildfires to nitrogen deposition in the United States. [PDF]

Commun Earth Environ
Campbell PC, Tong DQ, Chang S, Ma S, Li Y, Ding J, Saylor R, Baker B, Tang Y, Walker J.   +9 more
europepmc   +1 more source

A structurally localized ensemble Kalman filtering approach

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
We derive an inherently localized ensemble Kalman filtering (EnKF) approach, avoiding the need for any auxiliary localization technique. The idea is to first use the variational Bayesian optimization to approximate the (continuous) state analysis probability density function (pdf) by a product of independent marginal pdfs corresponding to small ...
Boujemaa Ait‐El‐Fquih, Ibrahim Hoteit   +1 more
wiley   +1 more source

Distinct impacts of tropical North Atlantic warming flavors on cross-basin tropical cyclone activity. [PDF]

Sci Adv
Zhao J, Bai L, Zhan R, Liu Y, Cai W, Wang Y, Kug JS, Moon IJ, Feng X, Toumi R, Zhou B, Zhang L, Chen HC.   +12 more
europepmc   +1 more source

NowPrecip 2: Precipitation nowcasting in the complex terrain of Switzerland. Part II: Verification

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
In this work we present the verification of the NowPrecip precipitation nowcasting systems (version 1 and version 2). Using 3.5 years of data over the period 2020–2023, their performance is compared with PySTEPS and the ICON numerical weather prediction ensemble by computing deterministic and probabilistic metrics.
A. Ntoumos, I. V. Sideris, A. Berne, A. Hering, P. Juda, M. Gabella, M. Boscacci, L. Clementi, U. Germann   +8 more
wiley   +1 more source

Urban-resolved scales amplifies torrential rainfall in coastal megacities. [PDF]

Sci Rep
Teja KR, Bale R, Gupta A.
europepmc   +1 more source

Dynamics of Meteorology and Climate. By R. S. SCORER. Wiley-Praxis Series in Atmospheric Physics, 1997. 608 pp. ISBN 0471 96816 1. £29.95. [PDF]

Journal of Fluid Mechanics, 1999
openaire   +2 more sources

Are we misdiagnosing ensemble forecast reliability? On the insufficiency of spread–error and rank‐based reliability metrics

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
We demonstrate that the spread–error relationship, rank histogram, and continuous rank probability score reliability component can falsely indicate reliability under climatological variance biases, yielding ensemble members that are overly or insufficiently extreme.
Arlan Dirkson, Mark Buehner
wiley   +1 more source

50 years of weather forecasting at the ECMWF. [PDF]

Nat Commun
europepmc   +1 more source

Enhancing flood prediction through physics-driven typhoon feature engineering and machine learning. [PDF]

PLoS One
Zhang Z, Xiao Y, Chen B, Long K, Liang F, Liao J.   +5 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Diagnosing the 11‐year solar cycle's influence on the East Atlantic pattern

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
A previously unidentified solar‐cycle response in the East Atlantic pattern is found in late winter at lag +3 years with larger amplitude than the NAO response. A statistically significant NAO response to the solar cycle is seen in late winter at lag 0 years.
Stergios Misios, Paula L. M. Gonzalez, Lesley J. Gray, Scott Osprey, Hedi Ma   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source