Results 241 to 250 of about 7,355 (309)

Observations and numerical simulations of a valley‐exit wind in the Alpine Bolzano basin

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
The evolution and spreading of the nocturnal valley‐exit wind flowing from the Isarco Valley into the Bolzano basin, in the Italian Alps, are found to be influenced by the basin temperature stratification. Measurements and high‐resolution simulations show that a cold‐air pool favors an upward trajectory of the flow at the exit of the valley.
Federica Gucci   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Epistemic and aleatoric uncertainty quantification in weather and climate models

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties over time on weather and climate time‐scales, estimated through ensembles that sample aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty using Bayesian neural networks for parameterisations in the Lorenz 1996 model. The spread shows the 16th and 84th percentiles.
Laura A. Mansfield   +1 more
wiley   +1 more source

Entraining CAPE and a simplified instability index for better assessment of environmental conditions of quasi‐stationary linear precipitation systems

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Quasi‐stationary linear precipitation systems (QSLPSs) are a major cause of heavy rainfall in Japan, persisting over the same region for more than five hours. This study demonstrates that entraining convective available potential energy (E‐CAPE), which accounts for environmental air entrainment during parcel ascent, more accurately characterises the ...
Eigo Tochimoto   +5 more
wiley   +1 more source

How interference between the North Atlantic Oscillation and the tropical Indo‐Pacific convection modulates wave trains along the subtropical jet: Impacts on the Asian winter climate

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
This study reveals that the combined effects of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and anomalous Indo‐Pacific Walker circulation on the excitation of the wave train along the wintertime subtropical jet strongly depend on their phase combination. Their impacts interfere constructively or destructively over South Asia, leading to notable differences in
Yuki Asazuma   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Kilometer-scale convection-allowing model emulation using generative diffusion modeling. [PDF]

open access: yesSci Adv
Pathak J   +10 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Ensemble reliability and the signal‐to‐noise paradox in ECMWF subseasonal forecasts

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
We derive a general expression for the ratio of predictable components (RPC) in terms of correlation, spread–error ratio, and total variance ratio. Physical constraints on the admissible solutions (i.e., real‐valued and non‐negative variances) provide a mechanism to identify statistically paradoxical sample combinations of reliability and correlation ...
Christopher D. Roberts, Frederic Vitart
wiley   +1 more source

Anthropogenic Emissions in Coastal India Strongly Influence New Particle Formation and Cloud Condensation Nuclei Activity. [PDF]

open access: yesACS EST Air
Singh A   +15 more
europepmc   +1 more source

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