Results 21 to 30 of about 42,696 (219)
An observation‐driven state‐space model for claims size modelling
Abstract State‐space models are popular in econometrics. Recently, these models have gained some popularity in the actuarial literature. The best known state‐space models are of the Kalman‐filter type. These are called parameter‐driven because the observations do not impact the state‐space dynamics.
Jae Youn Ahn +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Abstract We establish the consistency and the asymptotic distribution of the least squares estimators of the coefficients of a subset vector autoregressive process with exogenous variables (VARX). Using a martingale central limit theorem, we derive the asymptotic normal distribution of the estimators. Diagnostic checking is discussed using kernel‐based
Pierre Duchesne +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Hidden Markov graphical models with state‐dependent generalized hyperbolic distributions
Abstract In this article, we develop a novel hidden Markov graphical model to investigate time‐varying interconnectedness between different financial markets. To identify conditional correlation structures under varying market conditions and accommodate shape features embedded in financial time series, we rely upon the generalized hyperbolic family of ...
Beatrice Foroni +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Study of the performance of passive cooling strategies in buildings under arid weather conditions
In Algeria, the building sector accounts for approximately 43% of total primary consumption and accounts for more than one-third of energy-related greenhouse gas emissions. It should be a primary focus for reducing energy consumption and greenhouse gases
HABIBA KAZEOUI +2 more
doaj
In this paper we propose a detailed analysis of a quotation fragment inserted in The Flanders Road, the famous description of the centauress. This description functions as a mise en abyme : it reproduces « in miniature » the near total of the novel’s ...
Ilias Yocaris
doaj +1 more source
T‐calibration in semi‐parametric models
Abstract This article relates the calibration of models to the consistent loss functions for the target functional of the model. Correctly specified models are calibrated. Conversely, we demonstrate that if there is a parameter value that is optimal under all consistent loss functions, then a model is calibrated.
Anja Mühlemann, Johanna Ziegel
wiley +1 more source
Partial identification with categorical data and nonignorable missing outcomes
Abstract Nonignorable missing outcomes are common in real‐world datasets and often require strong parametric assumptions to achieve identification. These assumptions can be implausible or untestable, and so we may wish to forgo them in favour of partially identified models that narrow the set of a priori possible values to an identification region.
Daniel Daly‐Grafstein, Paul Gustafson
wiley +1 more source
A Markov approach to credit rating migration conditional on economic states
Abstract We develop a model for credit rating migration that accounts for the impact of economic state fluctuations on default probabilities. The joint process for the economic state and the rating is modelled as a time‐homogeneous Markov chain. While the rating process itself possesses the Markov property only under restrictive conditions, methods ...
Michael Kalkbrener, Natalie Packham
wiley +1 more source
Bayesian clustering of multivariate extremes
Abstract The asymptotic dependence structure between multivariate extreme values is fully characterized by their projections on the unit simplex. Under mild conditions, the only constraint on the resulting distributions is that their marginal means must be equal, which results in a nonparametric model that can be difficult to use in applications ...
Sonia Alouini, Anthony C. Davison
wiley +1 more source
Ce travail presente une mise au point de modeles d'environnement bases sur une procedure iterative qui evolue suivant quatre etapes interdependantes: la recolte des donnees qui a fourni la base indispensable au choix des processus physiques a analyser; ces derniers ont ete decrits par un modele mathematique dont les equations differentielles traitees ...
openaire +3 more sources

