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We decompose a 219 year sample of U.S. real output data into permanent and transitory shocks. We find reductions in volatility of output growth and inflation, starting in the mid 1980s, consistent with the “Great Moderation” noted by many others. More importantly, we find periods of even more substantial reduction in volatilities.
John W. Keating, Victor J. Valcarcel
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De Sinopoli, F +2 more
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The Spanish Journal of Psychology, 2021
This work provides a conceptual introduction to mediation, moderation, and conditional process analysis in psychological research. We discuss the concepts of direct effect, indirect effect, total effect, conditional effect, conditional direct effect ...
J. Igartua, Andrew F. Hayes
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This work provides a conceptual introduction to mediation, moderation, and conditional process analysis in psychological research. We discuss the concepts of direct effect, indirect effect, total effect, conditional effect, conditional direct effect ...
J. Igartua, Andrew F. Hayes
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Influence of Life Stress on Depression: Moderation by a Polymorphism in the 5-HTT Gene
Science, 2003In a prospective-longitudinal study of a representative birth cohort, we tested why stressful experiences lead to depression in some people but not in others. A functional polymorphism in the promoter region of the serotonin transporter (5-HT T) gene was
A. Caspi +10 more
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Mediation, Moderation, and Conditional Process Analysis
The Cambridge Handbook of Research Methods in Clinical Psychology, 2020Statistical mediation and moderation analyses are among the most widely used data analysis techniques in social science, health, and business research.
Nicholas J. Rockwood, Andrew F. Hayes
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Economic Theory, 2023
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