Multilevel multifidelity Monte Carlo methods for assessing uncertainty in coastal flooding [PDF]
When choosing an appropriate hydrodynamic model, there is always a compromise between accuracy and computational cost, with high-fidelity models being more expensive than low-fidelity ones.
M. C. A. Clare +6 more
doaj +1 more source
Bayesian model selection for multilevel models using integrated likelihoods.
Multilevel linear models allow flexible statistical modelling of complex data with different levels of stratification. Identifying the most appropriate model from the large set of possible candidates is a challenging problem. In the Bayesian setting, the
Tom Edinburgh, Ari Ercole, Stephen Eglen
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Nested Multilevel Monte Carlo with Biased and Antithetic Sampling [PDF]
We consider the problem of estimating a nested structure of two expectations taking the form $U_0 = E[\max\{U_1(Y), \pi(Y)\}]$, where $U_1(Y) = E[X\ |\ Y]$. Terms of this form arise in financial risk estimation and option pricing.
A. Haji-Ali, Jonathan Spence
semanticscholar +1 more source
Advanced Multilevel Monte Carlo Methods [PDF]
SummaryThis article reviews the application of some advanced Monte Carlo techniques in the context of multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC). MLMC is a strategy employed to compute expectations, which can be biassed in some sense, for instance, by using the discretization of an associated probability law.
Ajay Jasra, Kody Law, Carina Suciu
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Optimizing shift selection in multilevel Monte Carlo for disconnected diagrams in lattice QCD [PDF]
The calculation of disconnected diagram contributions to physical signals is a computationally expensive task in Lattice QCD. To extract the physical signal, the trace of the inverse Lattice Dirac operator, a large sparse matrix, must be stochastically ...
Travis Whyte +3 more
semanticscholar +1 more source
Accelerated Simulation of Boltzmann-BGK Equations near the Diffusive Limit with Asymptotic-Preserving Multilevel Monte Carlo [PDF]
Kinetic equations model the position-velocity distribution of particles subject to transport and collision effects. Under a diffusive scaling, these combined effects converge to a diffusion equation for the position density in the limit of an infinite ...
Emil Løvbak, G. Samaey
semanticscholar +1 more source
Goal-Oriented Adaptive Finite Element Multilevel Monte Carlo with Convergence Rates [PDF]
We present an adaptive multilevel Monte Carlo (AMLMC) algorithm for approximating deterministic, real-valued, bounded linear functionals that depend on the solution of a linear elliptic PDE with a lognormal diffusivity coefficient and geometric ...
Joakim Beck +3 more
semanticscholar +1 more source
Multilevel Monte Carlo Metamodeling [PDF]
Approximating the function that maps the input parameters of the simulation model to the expectation of the simulation output is an important and challenging problem in stochastic simulation metamodeling. Because an expectation is an integral, this function approximation problem can be seen as parametric integration—approximating the function that ...
Imry Rosenbaum, Jeremy Staum
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Multilevel Monte Carlo with Surrogate Models for Resource Adequacy Assessment [PDF]
Monte Carlo simulation is often used for the reliability assessment of power systems, but it converges slowly when the system is complex. Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) can be applied to speed up computation without compromises on model complexity and ...
Ensieh Sharifnia, Simon Tindemans
semanticscholar +1 more source
Multilevel sequential Monte Carlo samplers [PDF]
In this article we consider the approximation of expectations w.r.t. probability distributions associated to the solution of partial differential equations (PDEs); this scenario appears routinely in Bayesian inverse problems. In practice, one often has to solve the associated PDE numerically, using, for instance finite element methods and leading to a ...
Beskos, Alexandros +4 more
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