Results 161 to 170 of about 139,358 (346)

A Deep Learning Framework for Forecasting Medium‐Term Covariance in Multiasset Portfolios

open access: yesJournal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Forecasting the covariance matrix of asset returns is central to portfolio construction, risk management, and asset pricing. However, most existing models struggle at medium‐term horizons, several weeks to months, where shifting market regimes and slower dynamics prevail.
Pedro Reis, Ana Paula Serra, João Gama
wiley   +1 more source

Random Integrated Subdata Ensemble Method for Key Variable Selection in Rare Event Setting

open access: yesJournal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We propose a general variable selection procedure to identify key input variables by applying elastic net regression to representative subdata in place of the full sample to select variables. We combine the lists of selected variables from each subdata through ensemble techniques, using the frequency of selecting the variable across different ...
Ching‐Chi Yang   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

The Impact of Derivative Use on Default Probability Among Nonfinancial Firms: Evidence From European Firms

open access: yesJournal of Futures Markets, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper examines how institutional environments shape the effectiveness of derivative hedging in reducing corporate default risk. Using hand‐collected data from non‐financial firms across nine European countries and various econometric methods to control for endogeneity, we provide novel evidence that the risk‐reducing benefits of ...
Amrit Judge, Khai Le, Kim Ly
wiley   +1 more source

The Case of Fleeting Orders and Flickering Quotes

open access: yesJournal of Futures Markets, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT The literature controversially discusses the ambiguous motives and driving forces behind quickly cancelled limit orders (fleeting orders), which are characteristic of high‐frequency markets. In particular, manipulative and dysfunctional characteristics are feared. We analyze top‐of‐book fleeting orders—so‐called flickering quotes—and show with
Markus Ulze   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

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