Results 91 to 100 of about 9,227 (217)

Empirical‐Process Limit Theory and Filter Approximation Bounds for Score‐Driven Time Series Models

open access: yesJournal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This article examines the filtering and approximation‐theoretic properties of score‐driven time series models. Under specific Lipschitz‐type and tail conditions, new results are derived, leading to maximal and deviation inequalities for the filtering approximation error using empirical process theory.
Enzo D'Innocenzo
wiley   +1 more source

Testing Distributional Granger Causality With Entropic Optimal Transport

open access: yesJournal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We develop a novel nonparametric test for Granger causality in distribution based on entropic optimal transport. Unlike classical mean‐based approaches, the proposed method directly compares the full conditional distributions of a response variable with and without the history of a candidate predictor.
Tao Wang
wiley   +1 more source

Penalized Convex Estimation in Dynamic Location Models

open access: yesJournal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper studies L1$$ {L}^1 $$‐penalized estimation for location models yt=mt+ϵt$$ {y}_t={m}_t+{\epsilon}_t $$, where mt$$ {m}_t $$ is defined by a possibly non‐Markovian recursion and ϵt$$ {\epsilon}_t $$ is a martingale difference sequence with possibly time‐varying conditional variance.
Reda Alami Chentoufi
wiley   +1 more source

Tackling nonlinear price impact with linear strategies

open access: yesMathematical Finance, Volume 35, Issue 2, Page 422-440, April 2025.
Abstract Empirical studies in various contexts find that the price impact of large trades approximately follows a power law with exponent between 0.4 and 0.7. Yet, tractable formulas for the portfolios that trade off predictive trading signals, risk, and trading costs in an optimal manner are only available for quadratic costs corresponding to linear ...
Xavier Brokmann   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Measure‐valued processes for energy markets

open access: yesMathematical Finance, Volume 35, Issue 2, Page 520-566, April 2025.
Abstract We introduce a framework that allows to employ (non‐negative) measure‐valued processes for energy market modeling, in particular for electricity and gas futures. Interpreting the process' spatial structure as time to maturity, we show how the Heath–Jarrow–Morton approach can be translated to this framework, thus guaranteeing arbitrage free ...
Christa Cuchiero   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Reinforcement Learning for Jump‐Diffusions, With Financial Applications

open access: yesMathematical Finance, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We study continuous‐time reinforcement learning (RL) for stochastic control in which system dynamics are governed by jump‐diffusion processes. We formulate an entropy‐regularized exploratory control problem with stochastic policies to capture the exploration–exploitation balance essential for RL.
Xuefeng Gao, Lingfei Li, Xun Yu Zhou
wiley   +1 more source

Cointegration in a MIDAS Regression

open access: yesOxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Mixed data sampling (MIDAS) cointegration models are used to analyse variables observed at different frequencies. In this paper, we start from an assumed autoregressive distributed lag (ADL) model for high‐frequency observations, and derive the resulting representation when the dependent variable is only observed at a lower frequency.
H. Peter Boswijk, Philip Hans Franses
wiley   +1 more source

Inference on Common Trends in a Cointegrated Nonlinear SVAR

open access: yesOxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We consider the problem of performing inference on the number of common stochastic trends when data is generated by a cointegrated CKSVAR (a two‐regime, piecewise affine SVAR; Mavroeidis, 2021), using a modified version of the Breitung (2002) multivariate variance ratio test that is robust to the presence of nonlinear cointegration (of a known
James A. Duffy, Xiyu Jiao
wiley   +1 more source

Repelled Point Processes With Application to Numerical Integration

open access: yesScandinavian Journal of Statistics, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We look at Monte Carlo numerical integration from a stochastic geometry point of view. While crude Monte Carlo estimators relate to linear statistics of a homogeneous Poisson point process (PPP), linear statistics of more regularly spread point processes can yield unbiased estimators with faster‐decaying variance, and thus lower integration ...
Diala Hawat   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

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