Results 51 to 60 of about 984,341 (254)

Variance Targeting Estimation of Multivariate GARCH Models [PDF]

open access: yesJournal of Financial Econometrics, 2014
We establish the strong consistency and the asymptotic normality of the variance-targeting estimator (VTE) of the parameters of the multivariate CCC-GARCH($p,q$) processes. This method alleviates the numerical difficulties encountered in the maximization of the quasi likelihood by using an estimator of the unconditional variance. It is shown that
Francq, Christian   +2 more
openaire   +1 more source

Return and Volatility Spillovers Among Major Cotton Markets

open access: yesAgribusiness, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This study explores return and volatility transmission among major cotton markets. Several events have disrupted cotton supply and demand in recent years, leading to heightened price volatility and significant shifts in market interconnections.
Susmitha Kalli   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

A multivariate generalized independent factor GARCH model with an application to financial stock returns [PDF]

open access: yes, 2008
We propose a new multivariate factor GARCH model, the GICA-GARCH model , where the data are assumed to be generated by a set of independent components (ICs).
García-Ferrer, Antonio   +2 more
core   +1 more source

Bayesian clustering of multivariate extremes

open access: yesCanadian Journal of Statistics, EarlyView.
Abstract The asymptotic dependence structure between multivariate extreme values is fully characterized by their projections on the unit simplex. Under mild conditions, the only constraint on the resulting distributions is that their marginal means must be equal, which results in a nonparametric model that can be difficult to use in applications ...
Sonia Alouini, Anthony C. Davison
wiley   +1 more source

Volatility Spillover of Brent Oil Price Return on Return of Iran and USA Financial Markets and Related Industries: A MGARCH Approach [PDF]

open access: yesPizhūhishnāmah-i Iqtiṣād-i Inirzhī-i Īrān, 2016
The importance of oil price volatility spillover has significantly increased since the globalization and financial markets’ interaction have expanded. Based on this, the oil price impact on financial markets, as an exogenous variable, is also increased ...
Hossein Tavakolian   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

A Deep Learning Framework for Forecasting Medium‐Term Covariance in Multiasset Portfolios

open access: yesJournal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Forecasting the covariance matrix of asset returns is central to portfolio construction, risk management, and asset pricing. However, most existing models struggle at medium‐term horizons, several weeks to months, where shifting market regimes and slower dynamics prevail.
Pedro Reis, Ana Paula Serra, João Gama
wiley   +1 more source

Estimation of Risk Hedge Ratio, Optimal Weight and Volatility Spillover Effects in the Stock Market of Iran, USA, Turkey, and UAE [PDF]

open access: yesفصلنامه پژوهش‌های اقتصادی ایران, 2019
Information about optimal risk hedge ratio, optimal weight of asset portfolios, the intensity and direction of impact of shock and volatility on financial markets is important for investment, policy, risk management and development of financial markets ...
Esmaiel Abounoori, Mansour Tour
doaj   +1 more source

Currency hedging strategies using dynamic multivariate GARCH [PDF]

open access: yesMathematics and Computers in Simulation, 2012
This paper examines the effectiveness of using futures contracts as hedging instruments of: (1) alternative models of volatility for estimating conditional variances and covariances; (2) alternative currencies; and (3) alternative maturities of futures contracts.
Chia-Lin Chang   +2 more
openaire   +4 more sources

Electricity Price Prediction Using Multikernel Gaussian Process Regression Combined With Kernel‐Based Support Vector Regression

open access: yesJournal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper presents a new hybrid model for predicting German electricity prices. The algorithm is based on a combination of Gaussian process regression (GPR) and support vector regression (SVR). Although GPR is a competent model for learning stochastic patterns within data and for interpolation, its performance for out‐of‐sample data is not ...
Abhinav Das   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Realized volatility transmission within Islamic stock markets: A multivariate HAR-GARCH-type with nearest neighbor truncation estimator

open access: yesBorsa Istanbul Review, 2020
Using the nearest neighbor truncation (NNT) approach, this study investigates the realized volatility transmission between the Malaysian Islamic market with various global sectoral Islamic stock markets by extending the heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR)
Sew Lai Ng   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

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