Results 41 to 50 of about 3,586 (227)

Intraday Functional PCA Forecasting of Cryptocurrency Returns

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We study the functional PCA (FPCA) forecasting method in application to functions of intraday returns on Bitcoin. We show that improved interval forecasts of future return functions are obtained when the conditional heteroscedasticity of return functions is taken into account.
Joann Jasiak, Cheng Zhong
wiley   +1 more source

Optimal Foreign Exchange Portfolio for Iran [PDF]

فصلنامه پژوهش‌های اقتصادی ایران, 2010
Management of Foreign exchange reserves is important for every country. This matter is also of particular interest for Iran as an Oil exporting developing country. This paper designs an optimal portfolio for that part of foreign exchange incomes which is
Zahra Nasrollahi, Mina Shahviri,
doaj  

Estimating Portfolio Value at Risk in the Electricity Markets Using an Entropy Optimized BEMD Approach

Entropy, 2015
In this paper, we propose a new entropy-optimized bivariate empirical mode decomposition (BEMD)-based model for estimating portfolio value at risk (PVaR). It reveals and analyzes different components of the price fluctuation.
Yingchao Zou, Lean Yu, Kaijian He
doaj   +1 more source

Forecasting Volatility of Commodity, Currency, and Stock Markets: Evidence From Markov‐Switching Multifractal Models

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper adopts a bivariate Markov‐switching multifractal (BMSM) model to reexamine comovement in SV between commodity, foreign exchange (FX), and stock markets. After the 2007–2008 global financial crisis understanding volatility linkages and the correlation structure between these markets becomes very important for risk analysts, portfolio
Ruipeng Liu, Mawuli Segnon, Oguzhan Cepni, Rangan Gupta   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Modeling Nonstationary Financial Volatility with the R Package tvgarch

Journal of Statistical Software
Certain events can make the structure of volatility of financial returns to change, making it nonstationary. Models of time-varying conditional variance such as generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models usually assume ...
Susana Campos-Martins, Genaro Sucarrat
doaj   +1 more source

Cross-Hedging Portfolios in Emerging Stock Markets: Evidence for the LATIBEX Index

Mathematics, 2021
We consider alternative possibilities for hedging spot positions on the FTSE LATIBEX Index, the index of the only international market exclusively for Latin American firms that is denominated by the euro. Since there is not a futures market on the index,
Pablo Urtubia, Alfonso Novales, Andrés Mora-Valencia   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Predicting EU Emissions Allowance Prices Using Macroeconomic Indicators and Hybrid AI Models

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Predicting carbon allowance prices has grown more crucial in relation to carbon market regulation, financial strategy, and environmental policy development. This study examines a hybrid forecasting system that combines deep learning with ensemble machine learning models to forecast the price fluctuations of EU Emissions Allowance (EUAs) within
Saptarshi Ganguly, Pooja Sengupta, Divya Aggarwal   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Multivariate GARCH models with spherical parameterizations: an oil price application

Financial Innovation
In popular Baba-Engle-Kraft-Kroner (BEKK) and dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models, the large number of parameters and the requirement of positive definiteness of the ...
Luca Vincenzo Ballestra, Riccardo De Blasis, Graziella Pacelli   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

On Diagnostic Checking of Vector ARMA-GARCH Models with Gaussian and Student-t Innovations

Econometrics, 2013
This paper focuses on the diagnostic checking of vector ARMA (VARMA) models with multivariate GARCH errors. For a fitted VARMA-GARCH model with Gaussian or Student-t innovations, we derive the asymptotic distributions of autocorrelation matrices of the ...
Yongning Wang, Ruey S. Tsay
doaj   +1 more source

Brexit and Its Impact on EU Financial Markets

International Journal of Finance &Economics, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We investigate the impact of Brexit on volatility spillovers across the EU countries. We introduce a Brexit intensity measure that assigns an intensity score reflective of the financial markets' reaction to the events that occurred as Brexit negotiations began to unfold.
Marwan Izzeldin, Gulnur Muradoglu, Vasileios Pappas, Sheeja Sivaprasad   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source