Analysis of characteristics among unemployed callers to the psychological support hotline in Beijing. [PDF]
Li X +7 more
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Predictors of youth unemployment duration and impact evaluation of job creation program in East Gojjam Zone. [PDF]
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Trends in central nervous system cancers mortality in the United States and the underlying sociodemographic determinants, 1999-2020. [PDF]
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The pains amidst starting a new life: investigating adjustment disorder in Hong Kong migrants' transition to the UK. [PDF]
Yue R, Lau BHP.
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The interplay of health, economy, and politics in MENA region migration patterns: a panel data analysis (2000-2020). [PDF]
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Estimating Natural Rates of Unemployment: A Primer
Before the pandemic, the U.S. unemployment rate reached a historic low that was close to estimates of its underlying longer-run value and the short-run level associated with an absence of inflationary pressures. After two turbulent years, unemployment returned to its pre-pandemic low, and the estimated underlying longer-run unemployment rate appeared ...
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Unemployment flows, participation, and the natural rate of unemployment: Evidence from turkey
Journal of Macroeconomics, 2020Abstract We use a parsimonious unobserved components model with flow rates to estimate a time-varying unemployment rate trend for Turkey. Our approach is grounded in the modern theory of labor market search. This trend estimate yields a level that the unemployment rate would converge to in the absence of cyclical shocks that move different flow rates
Şengül, Gönül, Tasci, M.
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In search of the natural rate of unemployment
Journal of Monetary Economics, 2003We use a structural-VAR model to estimate the steady-state rate of unemployment, which we define as the natural rate. Although nothing constrains it to do so, the natural rate measured by this approach implies a strong negative relationship between cyclical unemployment and inflation, adding to the empirical evidence for a short-run Phillips Curve ...
Thomas B. King, James C. Morley
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Abstract This paper shows that there is a response of interest rates to announcements of unexpected changes in the unemployment rate. Overall, in response to an unexpectedly low unemployment rate announcement, interest rates rise and the dollar appreciates against three major currencies.
Jay Prag
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