Results 161 to 170 of about 266,485 (253)

Poisson count time series

Journal of Time Series Analysis, Volume 47, Issue 2, Page 279-303, March 2026.
This article reviews and compares popular methods, some old and some recent, that produce time series having Poisson marginal distributions. The article begins by narrating ways where time series with Poisson marginal distributions can be produced.
Jiajie Kong, Robert Lund
wiley   +1 more source

Achieving Explainable ENSO Prediction Using Small Data Training

Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 3, 16 February 2026.
Abstract Despite substantial progress over the past four decades, accurately predicting the spatiotemporal structure of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) remains a persistent challenge for dynamical models. While deep learning models have demonstrated improved prediction skills, their performances are constrained by biases in climate models used ...
Jie Feng, Tao Lian, Ting Liu, Dake Chen, Xichen Li, Youmin Tang, Yanqiu Gao, Xunshu Song   +7 more
wiley   +1 more source

Influences of Summer Northeastern Arctic Sea Ice on September Compound Heatwave and Drought Events in the South China

Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 3, 16 February 2026.
Abstract Compound heatwave and drought events (CHDEs) in South China (SC) have intensified in early autumn, yet their driving factor remains unclear. Based on reanalysis data and numerical experiments, this study investigates the potential influence of the summer northeastern Arctic Sea ice concentration (NEASIC) on the interannual variation of ...
Jiani Zeng, Huixin Li, Huijun Wang, Yuan Yuan, Mingkeng Duan   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Contrasting carbon cycle responses of the tropical continents to the 2015–2016 El Niño

Science, 2017
Junjie Liu, K. Bowman, D. Schimel, N. Parazoo, Zhe Jiang, Meemong Lee, A. Bloom, D. Wunch, C. Frankenberg, Ying Sun, O. ChristopherW., Dell, Kevin Robert Gurney, D. Menemenlis, M. Gierach, David Crisp, A. Eldering   +16 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

On the Role of Sea Surface Temperature in the 16 April 2024 Rainstorm Over the United Arab Emirates

Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 3, 16 February 2026.
Abstract This study examines how anomalously high sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the Arabian Sea and surrounding gulfs contributed to the record‐breaking rainfall (250 mm day−1 ${\text{day}}^{-1}$) over the United Arab Emirates (UAE) on 16 April 2024, with the greatest impacts in Dubai, Al‐Ain, and Abu Dhabi.
Basit Khan, Subrota Halder, Zouhair Lachkar, Francesco Paparella, Olivier Pauluis   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Origins of Precipitation in the World's Water Towers

Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 3, 16 February 2026.
Abstract High‐mountain systems act as the planet's vital water towers, sustaining freshwater supplies for billions of people. Climate change is exacerbating hydrological imbalances in these regions, yet the moisture sources maintaining their precipitation—the primary water input—remain poorly quantified.
Bomei Zhang, Hongkai Gao, Lan Wang‐Erlandsson, Yan Li   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Observing and Predicting the 2015/16 El Niño

, 2017
M. L’Heureux, Ken Takahashi, A. Watkins, A. Barnston, E. Becker, Tom E Di Liberto, Felicity Gamble, J. Gottschalck, M. Halpert, Boyin Huang, K. Mosquera-Vásquez, A. Wittenberg   +11 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Notable Influence of Internal Variability on the Perceived Difference Between Central and Eastern Pacific El Niño Teleconnections

Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 3, 16 February 2026.
Abstract The El Niño‐Southern Oscillation has two warm phase flavors of Eastern Pacific (EP) and Central Pacific (CP) El Niños that exhibit seemingly distinct global teleconnections, but the limited observational sample leaves open whether and where these differences are robust.
Ashley T. Huang, Yan‐Ning Kuo, Flavio Lehner   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Impact of Inter‐Basin Interactions on ENSO‐Associated Hadley Circulation Adjustments

Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 3, 16 February 2026.
Abstract El Niño events are usually accompanied by Hadley circulation (HC) adjustment extending beyond the Pacific to the Atlantic and Indian Oceans. These remote HC adjustments arise through both pure atmospheric and ocean‐atmosphere coupling mechanisms, yet their relative importance remains unclear.
Yujie Miao, Tao Lian, Ya Wang, Yueyue Yu, Yurong Hou, Weiqi Wang, Yadi Li, Weichen Tao, Xichen Li   +8 more
wiley   +1 more source

Confronting Historical Precipitation Trends in Models With Observations: Forced Signal and Atmospheric Internal Variability

Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 3, 16 February 2026.
Abstract Future precipitation projections rely heavily on climate models, underscoring the need to evaluate their ability to simulate historical precipitation changes. Using multiple atmospheric models and ensemble simulations, we estimate the forced signals driven by sea surface warming and the direct effects of greenhouse gases and aerosols, as well ...
Wengui Liang, Ming Zhao, Zhihong Tan, Thomas Knutson, Wenhao Dong, Bosong Zhang   +5 more
wiley   +1 more source