Results 171 to 180 of about 266,485 (253)

Understanding CMIP6 Multi‐Model Ensemble Projected Pacific Warming Pattern Variability

Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 3, 16 February 2026.
Abstract Most CMIP6 climate models simulate a Pacific SST warming pattern through the 20th and 21st centuries that is “El Niño‐like,” with a weakened zonal equatorial gradient. However, observed trends are “La Niña‐like,” displaying a strengthened zonal equatorial gradient, raising concerns about the accuracy of these projections. Here we explore multi‐
Shayne McGregor, Ellie Q. Y. Ong, Yann Y. Planton   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Contrasting climate oscillations impacts on phytoplankton in the western and eastern tropical Pacific. [PDF]

Nat Commun
An L, Laws EA, Liu X, Chen R, Wang S, Hu S, Zhang Y, Huang Y, Xu F, Chai F, Huang B.   +10 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Simulated Changes and Future Analogy Extent of Ocean Heat Content During the Mid‐Pliocene Warm Period

Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 3, 16 February 2026.
Abstract In the present day, global oceans have absorbed most of the excess anthropogenic heat, abating surface temperature warming. The Mid‐Pliocene Warm Period (MPWP; ∼ ${\sim} $3.2 million years ago) offers an opportunity to understand how globally warmer climates store oceanic heat.
Harry J. Grosvenor, Heather L. Ford, Chris M. Brierley, Charles J. R. Williams   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Amplifying Variability of the Southern Annular Mode in the Past and Future

Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 3, 16 February 2026.
Abstract The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is the dominant mode of atmospheric variability in the Southern Hemisphere extratropics. While its long‐term positive trend is well‐documented, changes in the amplitude of SAM variability remain poorly understood. Based on reanalysis data and surface‐station observations, we demonstrate that the amplitude of SAM
Ding Ma, Yuandong Zhang, Ji Nie
wiley   +1 more source

Persisting Modulation of Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation on Near‐Future Winter Precipitation Projections in Northern Europe

Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 3, 16 February 2026.
Abstract European winter precipitation profoundly influences regional hydroclimate, yet the relative roles of internal variability and external forcing in its decadal changes remain elusive. Using large‐ensemble climate simulations, we identify the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO) as a potential driver of interdecadal changes in winter northern ...
Mengyuan Yao, Haosu Tang, Gang Huang
wiley   +1 more source

Increased interannual variability of Sahel rainfall under greenhouse warming. [PDF]

Nat Commun
Yang K, Wang G, Cai W, Mohino E, Rodriguez-Fonseca B, Ng B, Yeh SW.   +6 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Radiative Forcing of Western Tibetan Vortex on Surface Air Temperature in Spring

Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 3, 16 February 2026.
Abstract As the dominant atmospheric circulation pattern over the western Tibetan Plateau (TP), the Western Tibetan Vortex (WTV) exerts substantial control on springtime 2 m surface air temperature (T2m). However, its underlying radiative processes remain unclear.
Jingzhi Wang, Xiao‐Feng Li, Jing Wang, Song Yang, Hayley J. Fowler   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

El Niño modulated Holocene hydroclimate extremes as a dipolar pattern of droughts in northeastern China and floods in southwestern China. [PDF]

Sci Rep
Fan J, Xu H, Zhang F, Jiang H, Zhai D, Shi W, Wei X, Zhang W, Xiao J.   +8 more
europepmc   +1 more source

The Atmosphere's Substantial Role in Interannual Variability of Earth's Energy Imbalance

Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 3, 16 February 2026.
Abstract Earth's Energy Imbalance (EEI) is a key metric to quantify climate change. While the ocean absorbs most excess heat, the atmosphere contributes only 1%–2% to the long‐term mean of EEI. However, our analysis of observational data demonstrates that variations in the atmosphere's energy content play a much larger role in interannual variations of
Michael Mayer, Norman G. Loeb, John M. Lyman, Gregory C. Johnson, Susanna Winkelbauer   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source