Results 131 to 140 of about 1,537,669 (180)
Atlantic trade and the West African market economy: New evidence from cowry imports, 1650–1905
The Economic History Review, EarlyView.Abstract Between the seventeenth and twentieth centuries, billions of cowries arrived in West Africa, leaving one of the few quantitative traces available for historians to measure the Atlantic trade's impact on the precolonial market economy. Yet, current estimates substantially underestimate the volume of cowry imports.
María José Pont Cháfer
wiley +1 more source
Banks and the economy: Evidence from the Irish bank strike of 1966
The Economic History Review, EarlyView.Abstract This paper studies the macroeconomic impact of the Irish bank strike of 1966, which led to the closure of the major commercial banks for 3 months. We collect a variety of new evidence, such as high‐frequency macro data, economic forecasts, micro data and narrative sources.
Emma Horgan, Seán Kenny, Jason Lennard
wiley +1 more source
Free to choose: Bank capital in Britain, 1878–1939
The Economic History Review, EarlyView.Abstract Government regulation of the banking sector is pervasive, making it difficult to empirically analyse when banks would voluntarily choose to issue equity if there were no minimum requirements on capital adequacy. A unique historical setting occurred in the late nineteenth‐century United Kingdom when joint‐stock banks were free to choose their ...
Gareth Campbell +2 more
wiley +1 more source
From Regression to Reasoning: Predicting M&A Announcement Returns With Large Language Models
European Financial Management, EarlyView.ABSTRACT This study investigates whether large language models (LLMs) can predict short‐term market reactions to M&A announcements. We prompt OpenAI's latest reasoning models (o3, GPT‐5, and GPT‐5.1) to forecast whether the combined market value of acquirer and target will increase or decrease, drawing on deal‐, firm‐, and macroeconomic data for large ...
Maximilian Schreiter +2 more
wiley +1 more source
European Financial Management, EarlyView.ABSTRACT In the face of climate change, uncertainty is deep, systemic, and does not propagate amid an institutional vacuum, contrary to assumptions often underlying existing macroeconomic climate models. The paper presents a macroeconomic Stock‐Flow Consistent model to examine the impact of climate‐related financial pressures under fundamental ...
Riccardo D'Orsi
wiley +1 more source
Family Relations, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Objective This study explores the marital experiences of parents raising autistic children in Türkiye, addressing a critical gap in culturally contextualized family research. Background Raising an autistic child often reshapes family systems and marital relationships due to intensified caregiving demands, emotional strain, and altered life ...
Muharrem Koc +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Life Cycle Consumption and Portfolio Choice Under Real Interest Rate Risk
Financial Management, EarlyView.ABSTRACT We set up a life cycle model with real interest rate risk to demonstrate that real interest rates have implications for optimal household consumption and investments. Lower interest rates lead to higher optimal stock investments and lower consumption.
Marcel Fischer, Natascha Jankowski
wiley +1 more source
Geopolitical Risk and Domestic Bank Deposits
Financial Management, EarlyView.ABSTRACT We investigate the relationship between global geopolitical risk and bank deposit flows across a wide panel of European countries. Motivated by the pivotal role of deposit stability for financial intermediation and systemic resilience, we explore whether geopolitical shocks alter depositors’ portfolio choices.
Dimitris Anastasiou +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Volatility ≠ Risk: When Timing Alpha in Crypto Markets Reflects Mispricing
Financial Review, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Volatility timing in cryptocurrency markets generates significant alpha, but only during periods of loose monetary policy and high uncertainty. Analyzing S&P crypto indices (2017–2023) dominated by large‐cap assets, we show realized volatility can reflect noise‐driven speculative flows, not risk compensation. This effect is strongest for small‐
Arben Kita, Yue Zhang
wiley +1 more source
How Does Progressivity Affect the Tax Cut Multiplier?
International Economic Review, EarlyView.ABSTRACT How does the targeting of personal income tax cuts affect the output multiplier? This paper provides quantitative evidence using a heterogeneous‐agent New‐Keynesian model calibrated to match US distributions of income, wealth, marginal tax rates, and marginal propensities to consume.
Christian Gillitzer
wiley +1 more source