Results 81 to 90 of about 53,922 (203)

Density‐Valued ARMA Models by Spline Mixtures

Journal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper proposes a novel framework for modeling time series of probability density functions by extending autoregressive moving average (ARMA) models to density‐valued data. The method is based on a transformation approach, wherein each density function on a compact domain [0,1]d$$ {\left[0,1\right]}^d $$ is approximated by a B‐spline ...
Yasumasa Matsuda, Rei Iwafuchi
wiley   +1 more source

Robust CDF‐Filtering of a Location Parameter

Journal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper introduces a novel framework for designing robust filters associated with signal plus noise models having symmetric observation density. The filters are obtained by a recursion where the innovation term is a transform of the cumulative distribution function of the residuals.
Leopoldo Catania, Andrew C. Harvey, Alessandra Luati   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Inverse problem for a parabolic system with two components by measurements of one component

, 2008
We consider a $2\times 2$ system of parabolic equations with first and zeroth coupling and establish a Carleman estimate by extra data of only one component without data of initial values.
Benabdallah, Assia, Cristofol, Michel, Gaitan, Patricia, Yamamoto, Masahiro   +3 more
core   +1 more source

Sequential Outlier Detection in Nonstationary Time Series

Journal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT A novel method for sequential outlier detection in nonstationary time series is proposed. The method tests the null hypothesis of “no outlier” at each time point, addressing the multiple testing problem by bounding the error probability of successive tests, using extreme‐value theory. The asymptotic properties of the test statistic are studied
Florian Heinrichs, Patrick Bastian, Holger Dette   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Empirical‐Process Limit Theory and Filter Approximation Bounds for Score‐Driven Time Series Models

Journal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This article examines the filtering and approximation‐theoretic properties of score‐driven time series models. Under specific Lipschitz‐type and tail conditions, new results are derived, leading to maximal and deviation inequalities for the filtering approximation error using empirical process theory.
Enzo D'Innocenzo
wiley   +1 more source

Testing Distributional Granger Causality With Entropic Optimal Transport

Journal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We develop a novel nonparametric test for Granger causality in distribution based on entropic optimal transport. Unlike classical mean‐based approaches, the proposed method directly compares the full conditional distributions of a response variable with and without the history of a candidate predictor.
Tao Wang
wiley   +1 more source

Approximations of Euler-Peano scheme for reflected stochastic differential equations with non-Lipschitz coefficients

Electronic Journal of Differential Equations
This article concerns reflected stochastic differential equations with reflecting boundary conditions that were introduced by Lions and Sznitman [5].
Mingbo Zhang
doaj  

ON THE STRUCTURE OF THE OPERATOR COADJOINT ACTION FOR THE CURRENT ALGEBRA ON THE THREE-DIMENSIONAL TORUS

Научный вестник МГТУ ГА, 2017
For the current Lie algebra on the three-dimensional torus with non-standard Lie bracket some properties, in the case when the sum of adjoint and coadjoint operators on infinite-dimensional Lie algebra with scalar product has a finite norm are ...
A. M. Lukatsky
doaj  

Measure‐valued processes for energy markets

Mathematical Finance, Volume 35, Issue 2, Page 520-566, April 2025.
Abstract We introduce a framework that allows to employ (non‐negative) measure‐valued processes for energy market modeling, in particular for electricity and gas futures. Interpreting the process' spatial structure as time to maturity, we show how the Heath–Jarrow–Morton approach can be translated to this framework, thus guaranteeing arbitrage free ...
Christa Cuchiero, Luca Di Persio, Francesco Guida, Sara Svaluto‐Ferro   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Robust Bernoulli Mixture Models for Credit Portfolio Risk

Mathematical Finance, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper presents comparison results and establishes risk bounds for credit portfolios within classes of Bernoulli mixture models, assuming conditionally independent defaults that are stochastically increasing in a common risk factor. We provide simple and interpretable conditions on conditional default probabilities that imply a comparison ...
Jonathan Ansari, Eva Lütkebohmert
wiley   +1 more source