Results 221 to 230 of about 10,613 (298)

Sparse Causal Dynamic Linear Regression

open access: yesJournal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We develop a sparse causal dynamic regression framework for long multivariate time series. With very long time series, the potentially large number of lags and leads in a dynamic regression model often makes time‐domain estimation numerically unstable or intractable.
Rui Huang, Kung‐Sik Chan
wiley   +1 more source

On a nonlinear eigenvalue problem

open access: yesJournal of Mathematical Analysis and Applications, 1968
openaire   +1 more source

Reinforcement Learning for Jump‐Diffusions, With Financial Applications

open access: yesMathematical Finance, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We study continuous‐time reinforcement learning (RL) for stochastic control in which system dynamics are governed by jump‐diffusion processes. We formulate an entropy‐regularized exploratory control problem with stochastic policies to capture the exploration–exploitation balance essential for RL.
Xuefeng Gao, Lingfei Li, Xun Yu Zhou
wiley   +1 more source

Nowcasting Swiss GDP Growth From Public Lead Texts: Simple Methods Are Sufficient

open access: yesOxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Public lead texts from Swiss newspapers contain most of the signal needed to nowcast Swiss GDP growth in real time. I build an indicator from daily topic‐specific sentiment and recession measures extracted from three Swiss newspapers and evaluate it in pseudo‐real time.
Marc Burri
wiley   +1 more source

Inference on Common Trends in a Cointegrated Nonlinear SVAR

open access: yesOxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We consider the problem of performing inference on the number of common stochastic trends when data is generated by a cointegrated CKSVAR (a two‐regime, piecewise affine SVAR; Mavroeidis, 2021), using a modified version of the Breitung (2002) multivariate variance ratio test that is robust to the presence of nonlinear cointegration (of a known
James A. Duffy, Xiyu Jiao
wiley   +1 more source

Large‐Dimensional Cointegrated Threshold Factor Models: The Global Term Structure of Interest Rates

open access: yesOxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT In this paper we extend the two‐level factor model to account for cointegration between group‐specific factors in large datasets. We propose two nonlinear specifications: (i) a threshold vector error correction model (VECM) that allows for asymmetric adjustment across regimes; and (ii) a band VECM that captures state‐dependent adjustment which
Daniel Abreu, Paulo M. M. Rodrigues
wiley   +1 more source

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