Results 201 to 210 of about 301,665 (287)

Assimilation of European and global Mode‐S aircraft observations into the Met Office global deterministic numerical weather prediction model

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
European and global Mode‐S aircraft reports have been assimilated into the Met Office global deterministic numerical weather prediction model, improving forecast accuracy for wind, temperature, and geopotential height. This is the first time global Mode‐S network data have been assimilated, which include data from under‐observed regions, and has ...
Elliott Warren   +5 more
wiley   +1 more source

Recent intensified riverine CO<sub>2</sub> emission across the Northern Hemisphere permafrost region. [PDF]

open access: yesNat Commun
Mu C   +12 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Assessing the impact of model biases on subseasonal forecast skill

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Relaxation experiments where the nudging was performed towards bias‐corrected integrations of the same model display significantly improved skill at weeks 3 and 4, particularly in the northern extratropics. This indicates that there is a large potential for improving dynamical subseasonal forecasting skill by improved treatment of model biases.
Frédéric Vitart, Magdalena Balmaseda
wiley   +1 more source

All‐sky assimilation impacts of the Tomorrow.io microwave sounder constellation on global weather forecasts

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Key Findings: An assimilation methodology is established for the Tomorrow.io microwave sounder (TMS) flying on CubeSats in sun‐synchronous and inclined orbits, and in all cloud scenes. The TMS has a significant impact on weather forecast lead times up to 3 days in the Tropics in a research‐quality numerical weather prediction setting, and yields water ...
Jonathan J. Guerrette   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Reduced North Pacific Deep Water formation across the Northern Hemisphere Glaciation. [PDF]

open access: yesNat Commun
de Graaf F   +6 more
europepmc   +1 more source

An objective Bayesian method for including parameter uncertainty in ensemble model output statistics

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Conventional model output statistics and ensemble model output statistics methods for calibrating ensemble forecasts lead to severe underestimation of the probabilities of ensemble extremes (in blue). This is because they ignore statistical parameter uncertainty.
Stephen Jewson   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Forecast verification using information and noise

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Verification of weather forecasts is usually expressed in terms of total error metrics. This is useful for end users of the forecasts but does not allow evaluation of the intrinsic information content of the forecasts. To overcome this limitation, we propose a new total error decomposition into information and noise error measures, connect it to ...
Massimo Bonavita, Alan J. Geer
wiley   +1 more source

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