Results 81 to 90 of about 6,728 (212)
Nowcasting Thunderstorms for Munich Airport
The successful demonstration and assessment of the DLR thunderstorm nowcasting algorithms at Munich Airport during two campaigns in the summers of 2010 and 2011 are described.
Tafferner, Arnold, Forster, Caroline
core
Short-term prediction (nowcasting) of high-impact weather events can lead to significant improvement in warnings and advisories and is of great practical importance.
Evan Ruzanski +2 more
core +1 more source
ABSTRACT The paper deals with the construction of a synthetic indicator of economic growth, obtained by projecting a quarterly measure of aggregate economic activity, namely gross domestic product (GDP), into the space spanned by a finite number of smooth principal components, representative of the medium‐to‐long‐run component of economic growth of a ...
Alessandro Giovannelli +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Nowcasting Business Cycles Using Toll Data [PDF]
Nowcasting has been a challenge in the recent economic crisis. We introduce the Toll Index, a new monthly indicator for business cycle forecasting and demonstrate its relevance using German data.
Zimmermann, Klaus F., Askitas, Nikos
core
The Accuracy Smoothness Dilemma in Prediction: A Novel Multivariate M‐SSA Forecast Approach
ABSTRACT Forecasting presents a complex estimation challenge, as it involves balancing multiple, often conflicting, priorities and objectives. Conventional forecast optimization methods typically emphasize a single metric, such as minimizing the mean squared error (MSE), which may neglect other crucial aspects of predictive performance. To address this
Marc Wildi
wiley +1 more source
Nowcasting of precipitation is a difficult spatiotemporal task because of the non-uniform characterization of meteorological structures over time. Recently, convolutional LSTM has been shown to be successful in solving various complex spatiotemporal ...
Ashutosh Kumar +4 more
doaj +1 more source
Nowcasting Swiss GDP Growth From Public Lead Texts: Simple Methods Are Sufficient
ABSTRACT Public lead texts from Swiss newspapers contain most of the signal needed to nowcast Swiss GDP growth in real time. I build an indicator from daily topic‐specific sentiment and recession measures extracted from three Swiss newspapers and evaluate it in pseudo‐real time.
Marc Burri
wiley +1 more source
Development of a Seamless Forecast for Solar Radiation Using ANAKLIM++
A novel approach for a blending between nowcasting and numerical weather prediction (NWP) for the surface incoming shortwave radiation (SIS) for a forecast horizon of 1–5 h is presented in this study. The blending is performed with a software tool called
Isabel Urbich +2 more
doaj +1 more source
This study presents the concept and first results of the Weather Forecast User Oriented System Including Object Nowcasting (WxFUSION), an integrated system using observations and numerical model data to nowcast and forecast weather hazards for air ...
Tafferner, Arnold, Forster, Caroline
core
Cointegration in a MIDAS Regression
ABSTRACT Mixed data sampling (MIDAS) cointegration models are used to analyse variables observed at different frequencies. In this paper, we start from an assumed autoregressive distributed lag (ADL) model for high‐frequency observations, and derive the resulting representation when the dependent variable is only observed at a lower frequency.
H. Peter Boswijk, Philip Hans Franses
wiley +1 more source

