Results 121 to 130 of about 759,000 (336)

Characteristics of diabatically influenced cyclones with high wind damage potential in Europe

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Diabatic processes contribute, on average, 26% to the intensification of European winter storms, with diabatically driven cyclones exhibiting steeper deepening rates, stronger wind gusts, and increased precipitation. These storms are linked to enhanced warm conveyor belt (WCB) activity and develop in a warmer environment with elevated lower ...
Svenja Christ, Julian Quinting, Joaquim G. Pinto   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Windows of opportunity in subseasonal weather regime forecasting: A statistical–dynamical approach

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
This study explores how the atmospheric state at initialisation creates windows of opportunity for improving week 3 forecasts of weather regime activity. Greenland blocking activity increases following Madden–Julian Oscillation phases 7, 8, and 1 and weak stratospheric polar vortex states, revealing patterns exploitable by statistical models.
Fabian Mockert, Christian M. Grams, Sebastian Lerch, Julian Quinting   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Propagation mechanisms for the Madden-Julian Oscillation [PDF]

, 2000
The Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) is examined using 20 years of outgoing longwave radiation and NCEP-NCAR reanalysis data. Two mechanisms for the eastward propagation and regeneration of the convective anomalies are suggested.
Matthews, AJ
core   +1 more source

A pilot variational coupled reanalysis based on the CESAM climate model

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Variational data assimilation of in‐situ and satellite ocean data and reanalysis atmospheric data into an intermediate complexity Earth system model is possible by adjusting the surface fluxes and internal model parameters. This pilot application requires nearly complete information on the atmospheric state for synchronization.
Armin Köhl, Iuliia Polkova, Guokun Lyu, Frank Lunkeit, Abhirup Banerjee, Silke Schubert, Detlef Stammer   +6 more
wiley   +1 more source

The large‐scale freshwater cycle of the Arctic [PDF]

, 2006
This paper synthesizes our understanding of the Arctic\u27s large‐scale freshwater cycle. It combines terrestrial and oceanic observations with insights gained from the ERA‐40 reanalysis and land surface and ice‐ocean models. Annual mean freshwater input
Aagaard, Knut, Barrett, Andrew P., Lammers, Richard B., Lee, Craig M., Meredith, Michael, Moritz, Richard, Serreze, Mark C., Slater, Andrew G., Steele, Michael, Woodgate, Rebecca A.   +9 more
core   +1 more source

A Station-Based Southern Annular Mode Index from 1884 to 2005 [PDF]

, 2009
Atmospheric pressure observations from the Southern Hemisphere are used to estimate monthly and annually averaged indexes of the southern annular mode (SAM) back to 1884.
Allan, Arblaster, Butler, Cai, Cai, Fyfe, Fyfe, Gillett, Gillett, Gong, Goodwin, Gordon, Hall, Hendon, Hines, Jones, Jones, Kidson, Kushner, Lefebvre, Lenton, Lovenduski, Lovenduski, Marshall, Martin Visbeck, Meredith, Meredith, Miller, Mo, Oke, Schneider, Sen Gupta, Sexton, Silvestri, Thompson, Thompson, Thompson, Verdy, Visbeck   +38 more
core   +1 more source

The role of soil moisture in the inland penetration of Indian monsoon low‐pressure systems

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
We use the Advanced Weather Research and Forecasting model to examine the role of soil moisture in the inland penetration of Indian monsoon low‐pressure systems (LPSs). We find that LPSs penetrate deeply into India despite a dry land surface; however, their inland penetration is adversely affected when there is a reduction in the total surface heat ...
Akshay Deoras, Kieran M. R. Hunt, Andrew G. Turner   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Evaluation of RapidScat Ocean Vector Winds for Data Assimilation and Reanalysis

Monthly Weather Review, 2018
Abstract The Rapid Scatterometer (RapidScat) was built as a low-cost follow-on to the QuikSCAT mission. It flew on the International Space Station (ISS) and provided data from 3 October 2014 to 20 August 2016. These data allowed for the retrieval of surface wind vectors derived from surface roughness estimates measured from multiple ...
Will, McCarty, Mohar, Chattopadhyay, Austin, Conaty   +2 more
openaire   +2 more sources

Assessing the impact of model biases on subseasonal forecast skill

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Relaxation experiments where the nudging was performed towards bias‐corrected integrations of the same model display significantly improved skill at weeks 3 and 4, particularly in the northern extratropics. This indicates that there is a large potential for improving dynamical subseasonal forecasting skill by improved treatment of model biases.
Frédéric Vitart, Magdalena Balmaseda
wiley   +1 more source

All‐sky assimilation impacts of the Tomorrow.io microwave sounder constellation on global weather forecasts

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Key Findings: An assimilation methodology is established for the Tomorrow.io microwave sounder (TMS) flying on CubeSats in sun‐synchronous and inclined orbits, and in all cloud scenes. The TMS has a significant impact on weather forecast lead times up to 3 days in the Tropics in a research‐quality numerical weather prediction setting, and yields water ...
Jonathan J. Guerrette, Ryan Honeyager, Stephen Joseph Munchak, Xiaoxu Tian   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source