An objective Bayesian method for including parameter uncertainty in ensemble model output statistics
Conventional model output statistics and ensemble model output statistics methods for calibrating ensemble forecasts lead to severe underestimation of the probabilities of ensemble extremes (in blue). This is because they ignore statistical parameter uncertainty.
Stephen Jewson +4 more
wiley +1 more source
Host Evolutionary Lineage Shapes Assembly, Network Topology, and Metabolic Potential of Coral Skeletal Endolithic Microbiomes. [PDF]
Bai C, Ju H, Zhang J, Li J.
europepmc +1 more source
Forecast verification using information and noise
Verification of weather forecasts is usually expressed in terms of total error metrics. This is useful for end users of the forecasts but does not allow evaluation of the intrinsic information content of the forecasts. To overcome this limitation, we propose a new total error decomposition into information and noise error measures, connect it to ...
Massimo Bonavita, Alan J. Geer
wiley +1 more source
Nonlinear Responses of Phytoplankton Communities to Environmental Drivers in a Tourist-Impacted Coastal Zone: A GAMs-Based Study of Beihai Silver Beach. [PDF]
Cheng D +6 more
europepmc +1 more source
Moisture inversions in the central Arctic: Product assessment and long‐wave radiative effect
This study evaluates the integrated water vapour and the vertical distribution of water vapour of state‐of‐the‐art reanalyses, weather forecast models, and ground‐ and space‐based remote‐sensing products in the central Arctic. A particular focus lies on the representation of humidity inversions and the quantification of the long‐wave radiative effect ...
Andreas Walbröl +6 more
wiley +1 more source
Elucidating the mechanism of thiosulfate oxidation by a novel two-component system SulRS in deep-sea <i>Campylobacterota</i>. [PDF]
Zhong Y +10 more
europepmc +1 more source
This work demonstrates the potential of the assimilation of satellite solar‐induced fluorescence (SIF) retrievals at eight‐day and 0.1° resolutions in the integrated forecast system (IFS), developed at the European Centre for Medium‐Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), at global scale, to provide a more realistic representation of the vegetation temporal ...
Sébastien Garrigues +12 more
wiley +1 more source
The Complete Mitochondrial Genome of <i>Portunion sinensis</i> (Crustacea: Isopoda) and Its Phylogenies. [PDF]
Huang T +10 more
europepmc +1 more source
Though many studies have shown potential benefit in assimilating all‐sky infrared radiances from geostationary satellites, at numerical weather prediction centres it is still common practice to assimilate clear‐sky radiances. We present the operationalization of the all‐sky assimilation of the spinning enhanced visible and infrared imager (SEVIRI ...
Annika Schomburg +5 more
wiley +1 more source
Morphometric Traits as Predictors of Body Mass in the Marine Gastropod <i>Semicassis bisulcatum</i>: Insights for Aquaculture and Selective Breeding. [PDF]
Cheng D +6 more
europepmc +1 more source

