Results 181 to 190 of about 69,036 (258)

An objective Bayesian method for including parameter uncertainty in ensemble model output statistics

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Conventional model output statistics and ensemble model output statistics methods for calibrating ensemble forecasts lead to severe underestimation of the probabilities of ensemble extremes (in blue). This is because they ignore statistical parameter uncertainty.
Stephen Jewson   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Forecast verification using information and noise

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Verification of weather forecasts is usually expressed in terms of total error metrics. This is useful for end users of the forecasts but does not allow evaluation of the intrinsic information content of the forecasts. To overcome this limitation, we propose a new total error decomposition into information and noise error measures, connect it to ...
Massimo Bonavita, Alan J. Geer
wiley   +1 more source

Moisture inversions in the central Arctic: Product assessment and long‐wave radiative effect

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
This study evaluates the integrated water vapour and the vertical distribution of water vapour of state‐of‐the‐art reanalyses, weather forecast models, and ground‐ and space‐based remote‐sensing products in the central Arctic. A particular focus lies on the representation of humidity inversions and the quantification of the long‐wave radiative effect ...
Andreas Walbröl   +6 more
wiley   +1 more source

Elucidating the mechanism of thiosulfate oxidation by a novel two-component system SulRS in deep-sea <i>Campylobacterota</i>. [PDF]

open access: yesiScience
Zhong Y   +10 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Assimilation of solar‐induced fluorescence satellite observations in the European Centre for Medium‐Range Weather Forecasts integrated forecast system

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
This work demonstrates the potential of the assimilation of satellite solar‐induced fluorescence (SIF) retrievals at eight‐day and 0.1° resolutions in the integrated forecast system (IFS), developed at the European Centre for Medium‐Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), at global scale, to provide a more realistic representation of the vegetation temporal ...
Sébastien Garrigues   +12 more
wiley   +1 more source

The Complete Mitochondrial Genome of <i>Portunion sinensis</i> (Crustacea: Isopoda) and Its Phylogenies. [PDF]

open access: yesBiology (Basel)
Huang T   +10 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Operational all‐sky assimilation of geostationary infrared water‐vapour channels in the regional ICON‐D2 model with an ensemble Kalman filter

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Though many studies have shown potential benefit in assimilating all‐sky infrared radiances from geostationary satellites, at numerical weather prediction centres it is still common practice to assimilate clear‐sky radiances. We present the operationalization of the all‐sky assimilation of the spinning enhanced visible and infrared imager (SEVIRI ...
Annika Schomburg   +5 more
wiley   +1 more source

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