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Oil Field Optimization under Price Uncertainty
The Journal of the Operational Research Society, 1998Summary: This paper presents a mixed integer programming model for optimal development of an oil field under uncertain future oil prices. Based on a two-dimensional reservoir description, the model suggests decisions concerning both design and operation, and the objective is to maximise the expected net present value of the oil field.
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Oil Price Uncertainty and Industrial Production
The Energy Journal, 2013We estimate a bivariate GARCH-in-Mean VAR with a BEKK variance specification, to investigate whether oil price volatility affects real economic activity. We use the same data set of thirty seven, aggregate and disaggregate, industrial production indices used by Herrera et al. (2011) as a proxy for real output and a post-1973 data sample.
Karl Pinno, Apostolos Serletis
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Oil price uncertainty and equity returns
Journal of Financial Economic Policy, 2016PurposeThis paper aims to examine the impact of oil price uncertainty on the stock market returns of ten oil importing and exporting countries in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region. The sample contains both oil importing and oil exporting countries that depend heavily on oil production and exports.Design/methodology/approachThis paper ...
Aktham Maghyereh, Basel Awartani
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Oil price uncertainty and unemployment
Energy Economics, 2019Abstract In this study, we empirically search the effects of oil price uncertainty and oil price shocks on U.S. unemployment rate using a GARCH-in-mean VAR model for the period 1974:q2–2017:q4. Based on our findings, we show that oil price uncertainty significantly increases unemployment rate in the U.S. economy.
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Uncertainties About Future World Oil Prices
SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, 1982ABSTRACT Projections of world oil prices are made with the knowledge that circumstances surrounding the world market can change abruptly, often as the result of political considerations. The ability to produce oil and the overall demand for oil change less rapidly.
W. Kilgore, A. Sandoval
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Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Oil Price Volatility
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 2016AbstractThis paper shows that higher macroeconomic uncertainty causes higher oil price volatility. Regimes of low and high uncertainty are identified in a threshold VAR model in which the effects of structural oil demand and supply shocks are estimated.
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Oil price uncertainty and corporate inventory investment
International Journal of Managerial Finance, 2023PurposeThis study examines the relationship between oil price uncertainty (OPU) and corporate inventory investments using a sample of 6,072 USA manufacturing firms from 1992 to 2019.Design/methodology/approachThe author's study employs a panel dataset to examine the relationship between OPU and corporate inventory investments.
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Oil price uncertainty and U.S. employment growth
Energy Economics, 2020Abstract This paper studies the effects of oil price changes on U.S. aggregate and sectoral employment growth in the presence of time-varying oil price uncertainty. We estimate a bivariate GARCH-in-Mean VAR model using U.S. monthly data of oil prices and employment growth for the period 1974 m2:2018 m11. Based on the results, we show that an increase
Niraj Prasad Koirala, Xiaohan Ma
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Oil Market Volatility: Is Macroeconomic Uncertainty Systematically Transmitted to Oil Prices?
2018The aim of this contribution is to analyze the impact of macroeconomic uncertainty on the oil market. We rely on a robust measure of macroeconomic uncertainty based on a wide range of monthly macroeconomic and financial indicators, which is linked to predictability rather than to volatility.
Joëts, Marc +2 more
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Oil Price Uncertainty in the Iranian Economy
2017T he relationship between the price of oil and the level of economic activity is a fundamental empirical issue in macroeconomics. In this research, by using a multivariate GARCH-in-Mean VAR, we try to investigate direct effects of uncertainty of oil price on macroeconomics of Iran by using annually data from 1965 to 2013.Results show that ...
Asadi Mehmandosti, Elaheh +2 more
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