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Stochastic Models for Oil Prices and the Pricing of Futures on Oil

Applied Mathematical Finance, 2015
AbstractIn this article, we investigate and compare the performance of various one-factor diffusion models in their ability to capture the behaviour of Brent crude oil prices. New proposed models, which have a three-quarters power in the diffusion term, are found to outperform all other popular models tested. Analytic solutions for futures prices under
Aba Oud, Mohammed, Goard, Joanna M
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The effects of the oil price and oil price volatility on inflation in Turkey

Energy, 2021
Abstract The effects of the oil price and oil price volatility on inflation in Turkey were analyzed via a structural vector autoregression (SVAR) model, using monthly data covering the period between March 1988 and August 2019. The result of variance decomposition indicates that the effects of the oil price and oil price volatility on inflation were ...
Kose, Nezir, Unal, Emre
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The New Oil Price Leadership And the WorId Price of Oil

Journal of Canadian Petroleum Technology, 1975
Abstract The petroleum industry has been facing, since the late sixties, a growing malaise due to a conjlict of interest between the underdeveloped petroleum-exporting countries (OPEC) and the technologically advanced, petroleum-importing counties of OECD.
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The Price of Oil

2015
Drawing on their extensive knowledge of the oil industry, Roberto F. Aguilera and Marian Radetzki provide an in-depth examination of the price of the world's most important commodity. They argue that although oil has experienced an extraordinary price increase over the past few decades, we have now reached a turning point where scarcity, uncertain ...
Aguilera, Roberto F., Radetzki, M.
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Scarcity and World Oil Prices

The Review of Economics and Statistics, 1986
The current (Summer 1985) world oil price, and changes since 1973, cannot possibly be explained by scarcity, or by changes in scarcity. The level and dispersion of marginal costs, and the pattern of investment behavior since 1973, prove that supply is being restricted to maintain the price, which can be maintained "only so long as the low-cost oil is ...
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The Price of Oil

2017
A rolling sea of swaying grass that is the steppe in May. The rigid pipeline following the road towards the horizon. Lines of poplars in their flush of spring green. A cluster of steel grey towers standing over a bundle of pipework. The lake, reed flanked and sparkling beneath an azure sky. Muddy puddles held in a square of bare earth.
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Crude Oil Price Determinants [PDF]

open access: possible, 2007
Based on monthly observations, I specify an econometric model capturing the driving forces behind the crude oil price series in recent years. A large set of covariates, such as supply and demand variables as well as futures market variables, is used to test the impact on the crude oil price.
openaire   +2 more sources

9 Relative Oil Prices and Oil Pricing Policy in Mexico

1984
The ‘oil crisis’ of October 1973 has been the starting point of a wide controversy over relative oil prices, and a large literature now covers numerous aspects of this and related issues.
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The relation between petroleum product prices and crude oil prices

Energy Economics, 2021
Louis H Ederington   +2 more
exaly  

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