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Economic Modelling, 2021
Abstract We investigate whether crude oil markets are weak-form efficient during different economic cycles over multi-scales using multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis. Using crude oil prices from 1996 to 2018, our results for different sub-samples provide evidence that in the shorter horizon, the efficiency of prices tends to improve across ...
Arshad, S. +4 more
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Abstract We investigate whether crude oil markets are weak-form efficient during different economic cycles over multi-scales using multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis. Using crude oil prices from 1996 to 2018, our results for different sub-samples provide evidence that in the shorter horizon, the efficiency of prices tends to improve across ...
Arshad, S. +4 more
openaire +2 more sources
Oil prices, fundamentals and expectations [PDF]
Energy Economics, 2019 This paper empirically investigates the relationship between oil prices, traditional fundamentals and expectations. Informational frictions may force a wedge between oil prices and supply and/or demand shocks, especially during periods of elevated risk ...
Bing Xu, Joseph P. Byrne, Marco Lorusso
exaly +2 more sources
Chaotic structure of oil prices
AIP Conference Proceedings, 2018Ozaksoy Sonustun, Fulya (Dogus Author) -- #nofulltext# -- Conference full title: 6th International Eurasian Conference on Mathematical Sciences and Applications, IECMSA 2017; Budapest; Hungary; 15 August 2017 through 18 August 2017.
Bildirici, Melike Elif +1 more
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Stochastic Models for Oil Prices and the Pricing of Futures on Oil
Applied Mathematical Finance, 2015AbstractIn this article, we investigate and compare the performance of various one-factor diffusion models in their ability to capture the behaviour of Brent crude oil prices. New proposed models, which have a three-quarters power in the diffusion term, are found to outperform all other popular models tested. Analytic solutions for futures prices under
Aba Oud, Mohammed, Goard, Joanna M
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Macro economy, stock market and oil prices: Do meaningful relationships exist among their cyclical fluctuations? [PDF]
Energy Economics, 2010 This paper examines the relationship among consumer price index, industrial production, stock market and oil prices in Greece. Initially we use a unified statistical framework (cointegration and VECM) to study the data in levels.
George Filis
exaly +2 more sources
The New Oil Price Leadership And the WorId Price of Oil
Journal of Canadian Petroleum Technology, 1975Abstract The petroleum industry has been facing, since the late sixties, a growing malaise due to a conjlict of interest between the underdeveloped petroleum-exporting countries (OPEC) and the technologically advanced, petroleum-importing counties of OECD.
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2015
Drawing on their extensive knowledge of the oil industry, Roberto F. Aguilera and Marian Radetzki provide an in-depth examination of the price of the world's most important commodity. They argue that although oil has experienced an extraordinary price increase over the past few decades, we have now reached a turning point where scarcity, uncertain ...
Aguilera, Roberto F., Radetzki, M.
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Drawing on their extensive knowledge of the oil industry, Roberto F. Aguilera and Marian Radetzki provide an in-depth examination of the price of the world's most important commodity. They argue that although oil has experienced an extraordinary price increase over the past few decades, we have now reached a turning point where scarcity, uncertain ...
Aguilera, Roberto F., Radetzki, M.
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The Review of Economics and Statistics, 1986
The current (Summer 1985) world oil price, and changes since 1973, cannot possibly be explained by scarcity, or by changes in scarcity. The level and dispersion of marginal costs, and the pattern of investment behavior since 1973, prove that supply is being restricted to maintain the price, which can be maintained "only so long as the low-cost oil is ...
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The current (Summer 1985) world oil price, and changes since 1973, cannot possibly be explained by scarcity, or by changes in scarcity. The level and dispersion of marginal costs, and the pattern of investment behavior since 1973, prove that supply is being restricted to maintain the price, which can be maintained "only so long as the low-cost oil is ...
openaire +1 more source
2017
A rolling sea of swaying grass that is the steppe in May. The rigid pipeline following the road towards the horizon. Lines of poplars in their flush of spring green. A cluster of steel grey towers standing over a bundle of pipework. The lake, reed flanked and sparkling beneath an azure sky. Muddy puddles held in a square of bare earth.
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A rolling sea of swaying grass that is the steppe in May. The rigid pipeline following the road towards the horizon. Lines of poplars in their flush of spring green. A cluster of steel grey towers standing over a bundle of pipework. The lake, reed flanked and sparkling beneath an azure sky. Muddy puddles held in a square of bare earth.
openaire +1 more source