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Declining Effects of Oil Price Shocks [PDF]
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2013 In recent years, output responses to oil price shocks have not only been weaker, but have also reached their trough earlier. This paper builds a model that incorporates a realistic structure of U.S. petroleum consumption and explores three possible explanations for the changes.
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, 1990 As if to affirm that "History repeats itself," the third oil shock in seventeen years has been threatening. But history never repeats itself exactly, and important differences exist between this incipient oil shock and the previous two, including differences in the likely magnitude of the shock, in the vulnerability of oil consumers, in the state of ...
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Not all demand oil shocks are alike: disentangling demand oil shocks in the crude oil market
Journal of Chinese Economic and Foreign Trade Studies, 2011PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to re‐examine the structural origins of international crude oil price fluctuation.Design/methodology/approachThe paper establishes a structural vector autoregression model based on the generalized supply and demand analysis of crude oil price fluctuation and performance the structural decomposition of price shocks ...
Zhuo Li, Hui Zhao
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Survival, 2008
The peak–oil theory asserts that oil production follows a bell-shaped curve, rising exponentially early on, hitting a peak and then declining terminally. As world oil production reaches its peak, energy importers will enjoy somewhat greater political weight; the economic balance of power among major industrial states will change according to their ...
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The peak–oil theory asserts that oil production follows a bell-shaped curve, rising exponentially early on, hitting a peak and then declining terminally. As world oil production reaches its peak, energy importers will enjoy somewhat greater political weight; the economic balance of power among major industrial states will change according to their ...
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Oil price shocks and inflation
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Working Papers, 2023Lutz Kilian, Xiaoqing Zhou
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Asymmetric effects of oil shocks on carbon allowance price: Evidence from China
Energy Economics, 2021Fenghua Wen
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