Results 21 to 30 of about 5,848,790 (129)

Can Domain‐Informed Design Improve Neural Spatio‐Temporal Point Processes for Earthquake Forecasting?

Earth's Future, Volume 14, Issue 8, August 2026.
Abstract Statistical earthquake forecasting models, such as the Epidemic‐type Aftershock Sequence (ETAS), embed decades of empirical knowledge and assumptions about earthquake triggering, clustering, and catalog completeness. In contrast, neural spatio‐temporal point process (STPP) models often treat seismicity as generic spatiotemporal data without ...
Weixi Tian, Samuel Stockman, Yongxian Zhang, Maximilian J. Werner   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Statistical properties of seismic foreshocks and aftershocks associated with longwall mining: Implications from the Epidemic Type Aftershock Sequence model

Journal of Rock Mechanics and Geotechnical Engineering
The control and management of mining-induced seismic hazards have attracted ever-rising attention, especially in underground longwall coal mines, where continuous mining activities dynamically alter the stress states and induce seismic events.
Xu Li, Guangyao Si, Bobo Shi, Wenzhuo Cao, Wu Cai, Joung Oh, Ismet Canbulat   +6 more
doaj   +1 more source

Bayesian Inference of Complex Stress Evolution in Rate‐and‐State Governed Faults Constrained by Seismicity Rate Observations

Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, Volume 131, Issue 8, August 2026.
Abstract Temporal changes in seismicity rates can be conceptually understood as a response and consequence of stress changes. Dieterich (1994, https://doi.org/10.1029/93JB02581) formalized this relationship using empirically derived rate‐and‐state friction laws, and Heimisson and Segall (2018, https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JB015656) later generalized the
Y. Jiang, D. T. Trugman, P. J. González
wiley   +1 more source

Highlights from the first ten years of the New Zealand earthquake forecast testing center [PDF]

, 2018
We present highlights from the first decade of operation of the New Zealand Earthquake Forecast Testing Center of the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP). Most results are based on reprocessing using the best available catalog,
Thomas H. Jordan, Matthew C. Gerstenberger, Maria Liukis, Marzocchi, Warner, Jordan, Thomas H, Christophersen, Annemarie, Liukis, M., Silva, F., David A. Rhoades, Warner Marzocchi, Marzocchi, W., Fabio Silva, Rhoades, David A., Christophersen, A., Jordan, Thomas H., Werner, Maximilian J., Gerstenberger, Matthew C., Maximilian J. Werner, Silva, Fabio, Gerstenberger, M. C., Liukis, Maria, Rhoades, D. A., Annemarie Christophersen, Werner, M. J., Jordan, T. H., Werner, Maximilian   +25 more
core   +1 more source

Prototyping the Seismogenic Fault Injection Test (SFIT)

Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 14, 28 July 2026.
Abstract The treatment of induced seismicity risk would benefit from a small, standardized injection test that probes the seismic response to fluid injection—to optimally improve earthquake forecasts before a larger injection commences. To accomplish this goal, we propose a “model differencing” framework: this framework optimizes injection protocols by
Ryan Schultz, Antonio Pio Rinaldi, Stefan Wiemer   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

The Q$$ Q $$‐Score: A Magnitude‐Weighted Goodness‐of‐Fit Score for Earthquake Forecasting

Environmetrics, Volume 37, Issue 5, July 2026.
ABSTRACT Accurate forecasting of large earthquakes is of great importance, yet most current earthquake forecast evaluation metrics, such as the log‐likelihood score, do not give additional weight to large‐magnitude events. To this end, magnitude‐weighted goodness‐of‐fit scores for earthquake forecasting have recently been introduced, such as potency ...
Julia Jansson Valter, Alejandra Arjon, Francesco Serafini, Frederic Schoenberg   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Analysis of Aftershock Earthquake Decay in Mamberamo on September 10, 2022 using GEOSTAT V2.0 Software [PDF]

, 2023
There was an earthquake on September 10, 2022 with a magnitude of 6.2 with a depth of 16 km in Mamberamo Raya, Papua. This earthquake is located at coordinates 2.04° South Latitude - 138.26° East Longitude.
Armansyah, Armansyah, Yanto, Danang Pamuji Dwi Lestari, Bakhtiar, Takhul, Ahsan, Muh Nahdhi   +3 more
core   +1 more source

Reduced seismic activity after mega earthquakes

Communications Earth & Environment
Mainshocks are often followed by increased earthquake activity (aftershocks). According to the Omori-Utsu law, the rate of aftershocks decays as a power law over time.
Yongwen Zhang, Maor Elbaz, Shlomo Havlin, Yosef Ashkenazy   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Brittle Creep as a Mechanism for Postseismic Relaxation in Upper Crustal Dolomite Marble

Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, Volume 131, Issue 7, July 2026.
Abstract In many locations, earthquakes in the upper crust occur in carbonate rocks, whose deformation affects aftershock sequences and postseismic relaxation. We investigate the stress relaxation process and strain evolution in Jinping dolomite marble (porosity <0.2%) subjected to multi‐stage stress ramp‐relaxation cycles under confining pressures of ...
Shuting Miao, Pengzhi Pan, François Renard, Erik Rybacki, Arno Zang   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Hidden jerk in universal creep and aftershocks [PDF]

, 2023
Most materials exhibit creep memory under the action of a constant load. The memory behavior is governed by Andrade's creep law, which also has an inherent connection with the Omori-Utsu law of earthquake aftershocks.
Pandey, Vikash, Vikash Pandey
core   +1 more source