Results 231 to 240 of about 5,347 (294)

Are we misdiagnosing ensemble forecast reliability? On the insufficiency of spread–error and rank‐based reliability metrics

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
We demonstrate that the spread–error relationship, rank histogram, and continuous rank probability score reliability component can falsely indicate reliability under climatological variance biases, yielding ensemble members that are overly or insufficiently extreme.
Arlan Dirkson, Mark Buehner
wiley   +1 more source

Diagnosing the 11‐year solar cycle's influence on the East Atlantic pattern

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
A previously unidentified solar‐cycle response in the East Atlantic pattern is found in late winter at lag +3 years with larger amplitude than the NAO response. A statistically significant NAO response to the solar cycle is seen in late winter at lag 0 years.
Stergios Misios   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Size-fractionated fungal communities in the sunlit ocean. [PDF]

open access: yesCommun Biol
Zhao Z   +3 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Bivariate postprocessing of wind vectors

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
We introduce three novel bivariate postprocessing approaches and analyze their performance for joint postprocessing of bivariate wind‐vector components in Germany. Bivariate vine‐copula‐based models, a bivariate gradient‐boosted version of ensemble model output statistics (EMOS), and a bivariate distributional regression network (DRN) are compared with
Ferdinand Buchner   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

A multimodel intercomparison study of variable‐resolution global models with grid refinement over the Arctic and Antarctic

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
We document the protocol and first results from the first ever coordinated multimodel variable‐resolution experiment set with refinement over the polar regions. We find that the refinement generally yields model‐dependent effects. The most consistent improvement is an amelioration of the upper‐level cold bias in the polar regions that translates into ...
Lise Seland Graff   +8 more
wiley   +1 more source

The biogeochemical transport by the Gulf Stream. [PDF]

open access: yesCommun Earth Environ
Williams RG   +7 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Modulation of wind drag by tidal currents in an embayment

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Tidal currents modulate how wind energy enters the surface wave field by influencing both wave drag and wave generation. In Shark Bay, following currents reduce effective wave steepness and wind drag, and opposing currents enhance wave growth. Wind energy is partitioned between wave drag and the creation of new waves, explaining observed tidal ...
Stephen M. Thurgate   +1 more
wiley   +1 more source

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