On the psychology of self-prediction: Consideration of situational barriers to intended actions
Judgment and Decision Making, 2014 When people predict their future behavior, they tend to place too much weight on their current intentions, which produces an optimistic bias for behaviors associated with currently strong intentions.
Connie S. K. Poon +2 more
doaj +1 more source
Correcting the optimally selected resampling-based error rate: A smooth analytical alternative to nested cross-validation [PDF]
, 2011 High-dimensional binary classification tasks, e.g. the classification of microarray samples into normal and cancer tissues, usually involve a tuning parameter adjusting the complexity of the applied method to the examined data set.
Augustin, Thomas +2 more
core +1 more source
Mathematical model to mitigate planning fallacy and to determine realistic delivery time
IIMB Management Review, 2018 Planning fallacy is the tendency to underestimate the duration of a task due to the optimistic bias of individuals. We design a mechanism from the principal's perspective (an original equipment manufacturer (OEM)) to mitigate the optimistic bias of ...
S. Yamini, Rahul R. Marathe
doaj +1 more source
Investigating The Role of Uncertainty on The Relationship Between Investors' Sentiment and Managers' Behavioral Bias in Earnings Forecasting [PDF]
پژوهشهای تجربی حسابداری, 2022 Behavioral financial literature provides evidence that company managers are not immune to behavioral bias and have personality traits such as overconfidence, loss avoidance, overconfidence, and so on.
meisam vahedian +3 more
doaj +1 more source
Optimistic Bias about COVID-19 Infection Susceptibility across Demographics in Pakistan
Journal of Research in Psychology, 2020 Backgrounds Optimistic bias in terms of risk estimates about COVID-19 infection susceptibility in Pakistani population is a threat which will cause horrifying results, just like Italy, France, and USA. We present estimates of perceived risk of COVID-19
M. Asif +4 more
semanticscholar +1 more source
Optimism Bias in Fans and Sports Reporters. [PDF]
PLoS ONE, 2015 People are optimistic about their prospects relative to others. However, existing studies can be difficult to interpret because outcomes are not zero-sum.
Bradley C Love +2 more
doaj +1 more source
Can Geometric Test Probe the Cosmic Equation of State ? [PDF]
, 2001 Feasibility of the geometric test as a probe of the cosmic equation of state of the dark energy is discussed assuming the future 2dF QSO sample.
Ballinger W. E. +6 more
core +3 more sources
Optimistic bias in beliefs about smoking
Australian Journal of Psychology, 1997 The role of optimistic bias in beliefs about the health consequences of cigarette smoking was examined by assessing young adults' perceptions of the health risks of smoking, both for themselves and for the average smoker. A sample of 189 respondents aged 18 to 30 years was randomly drawn from the telephone directory.
Tracy Williams, Valerie A. Clarke
openaire +1 more source
How Do Analyst Recommendations Respond to Major News? [PDF]
, 2006 We examine how analysts respond to public information when setting stock recommendations. We model the determinants of analysts’ recommendation changes following large stock price movements.
Conrad, Jennifer +3 more
core +1 more source
Spectroscopic Confusion: Its Impact on Current and Future Extragalactic HI Surveys [PDF]
, 2015 We present a comprehensive model to predict the rate of spectroscopic confusion in HI surveys, and demonstrate good agreement with the observable confusion in existing surveys. Generically the action of confusion on the HI mass function was found to be a
Giovanelli, Riccardo +3 more
core +2 more sources