Results 171 to 180 of about 694,556 (299)

Forecasting Count Data With Varying Dispersion: A Latent‐Variable Approach

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Count data, such as product sales and disease case counts, are common in business forecasting and many areas of science. Although the Poisson distribution is the best known model for such data, its use is severely limited by its assumption that the dispersion is a fixed function of the mean, which rarely holds in real‐world scenarios.
Easton Huch, Candace Berrett, Mason Ferlic, Kimberly F. Sellers   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Syndromic surveillance systems to detect outbreaks of gastroenteritis in high-income countries: a scoping review. [PDF]

BMC Public Health
Mutawalli FA, Dyda A, Anuradha S, Lawler S, Do PC, Meckawy R, Reid S.   +6 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Term Spread Volatility as a Leading Indicator of Economic Activity

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT In this paper, we examine the macroeconomic predictive power of the volatility of the US Treasury yield curve slope (term spread volatility). Our forecasting exercise shows that US term spread volatility has significant predictive power for US industrial production and employment growth.
Anastasios Megaritis, Dimitrios Bakas, Theodora Bermpei, Athanasios Triantafyllou   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Epidemiologic Trends, Genetic Diversity, and Risk Factors of Norovirus Outbreaks in Beijing, China, 2016-2022. [PDF]

Viruses
Wang Y, Li W, Liu B, Shen L, Tian Y, Jia L, Yan H, Zeng J, Lu Q, Zhang D, Yang P, Wang Q, Gao Z, Cui F.   +13 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Exploring the Nexus Between Sustainability Index and Central European Stock Markets Competitiveness: Evidence Through Time–Frequency Analysis and SHAP

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Sustainability has become an important factor shaping financial markets and investor behavior. This paper examines the relationship between sustainability indices and Central European stock markets using a time–frequency approach. Wavelet coherence is employed to capture time‐varying co‐movements between sustainability indices and stock market
Zuzana Janková, Dipak Kumar Jana, Michal Páleš, Elena Fleaca, Petr Dostál   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Imported Chikungunya Virus Infection

Emerging Infectious Diseases, 2010
Man-Koumba Soumahoro, Didier Fontenille, Clément Turbelin, Camille Pelat, Anders Boyd, Antoine Flahault, Thomas Hanslik   +6 more
doaj   +1 more source

Epidemiological characteristics of foodborne disease outbreaks in Chongqing from 2003 to 2023. [PDF]

PLoS One
Chen J, Liu Q, Luo S, He Y, Cheng L, Feng P, Li F, Jiang W.   +7 more
europepmc   +1 more source

The Impact of Uncertainty on Forecasting the US Economy

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper examines the predictive value of uncertainty measures for key macroeconomic indicators across multiple forecast horizons. We evaluate how different uncertainty proxies—economic policy uncertainty (EPU), VIX, geopolitical risk, and measures of macroeconomic and financial uncertainty—enhance forecast accuracy for industrial production,
Angelica Ghiselli
wiley   +1 more source

Global trends of pandemic-prone and epidemic-prone disease outbreaks in 2024. [PDF]

BMJ Glob Health
Torres Munguía JA, Martínez-Zarzoso I.
europepmc   +1 more source

Takotsubo cardiomyopathy during armed conflict: A case series

ESC Heart Failure, Volume 12, Issue 2, Page 1494-1498, April 2025.
Sharon Bruoha, Artyom Star, Gili Givaty, Michael Shilo, Michael Friger, Vladimir Chitoroga, Hezzy Shmueli, Yigal Abramowitz, Elad Asher, Jamal Jafari, Vladimir Shlyakhover, Doron Zahger, Moti Haim, Chaim Yosefy   +13 more
wiley   +1 more source