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A Model of Overconfidence [PDF]
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2009 AbstractPeople use information about their ability to choose tasks. If more challenging tasks provide more accurate information about ability, people who care about and who are risk averse over their perception of their ability will choose tasks that are not sufficiently challenging.
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Overconfidence and Rigid Mindset: Does 90% Overconfidence Always Equal 90% Overconfidence?
Academy of Management Proceedings, 2013Overconfidence occurs when the certainty that one knows specific facts exceeds the accuracy of that knowledge. Overconfidence is extremely common.
Mark Simon, John Kim, Susan Houghton
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Gender and overconfidence: are girls really overconfident?
Applied Economics Letters, 2011Previous research finds that people are overconfident and that men are more overconfident than women. Using a very precise confidence measure, this article shows, however, that whereas boys are overconfident, girls are actually underconfident regarding their mathematics performance.
L. Dahlbom +3 more
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2018
Empirical evidence suggests that managerial overconfidence and government guarantees contribute substantially to excessive risk-taking in the banking industry. This paper incorporates managerial overconfidence and limited bank liability into a principal-agent model, where the bank manager unobservably chooses effort and risk.
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Empirical evidence suggests that managerial overconfidence and government guarantees contribute substantially to excessive risk-taking in the banking industry. This paper incorporates managerial overconfidence and limited bank liability into a principal-agent model, where the bank manager unobservably chooses effort and risk.
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2013
Regulatory reaction to the 2008-2009 financial crisis focused on complex financial instruments that deepened the crisis. A consensus emerged that these risky financial instruments should move through safe, strong clearinghouses, which would be bulwarks against systemic risk, and that the destructive impact of the failures during the crisis of AIG ...
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Regulatory reaction to the 2008-2009 financial crisis focused on complex financial instruments that deepened the crisis. A consensus emerged that these risky financial instruments should move through safe, strong clearinghouses, which would be bulwarks against systemic risk, and that the destructive impact of the failures during the crisis of AIG ...
openaire +1 more source