Results 71 to 80 of about 16,557 (355)

Trouet Receives 2019 Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology Willi Dansgaard Award

EOS, 2020
Valerie Trouet received the 2019 Willi Dansgaard Award at AGU's Fall Meeting 2019, held 9–13 December in San Francisco, Calif. The award is given in recognition of “high research impact, innovative interdisciplinary work, educational accomplishments ...

semanticscholar   +1 more source

Probability forecasts – Part 1: ensembles and probabilistic forecasts

Weather, EarlyView.
Ensemble weather forecasts have been in use for many years to help forecasters understand uncertainty in weather predictions but are now becoming core to some operational Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) systems. Ensembles offer greater predictive skill and information content than deterministic forecasts but are more complex to interpret and ...
Ken Mylne
wiley   +1 more source

Eldgjá and Laki: Two large Icelandic fissure eruptions and a historical-critical approach for interdisciplinary researchers working on past nature-induced disasters

Volcanica
The integration of archives of societies with archives of nature has led to collaborations between the natural sciences and the humanities. Not all those involved consider these archives equal, which led to some studies featuring explanations promoting ...
Stephan F. Ebert, Katrin Kleemann
doaj   +1 more source

Old World megadroughts and pluvials during the Common Era [PDF]

, 2015
Climate model projections suggest widespread drying in the Mediterranean Basin and wetting in Fennoscandia in the coming decades largely as a consequence of greenhouse gas forcing of climate.
an der Schrier, Gerard v, Andreu-Hayles, Laia, Baillie, Mike, Baittinger, Claudia, Bleicher, Niels, Bonde, Niels, Briffa, Keith R., Brown, David, Büntgen, Ulf, Carrer, Marco, Cook, Edward R., Cooper, Richard, Dittmar, Christoph, Esper, Jan, Frank, David, Griggs, Carol, Gunnarson, Björn, Gutierrez, Emilia, Günther, Björn, Haneca, Kristof, Helama, Samuli, Herzig, Franz, Heussner, Karl-Uwe, Hofmann, Jutta, Janda, Pavel, Kontic, Raymond, Krusic, Paul J., Kushnir, Yochanan, Kyncl, Tomáš, Köse, Nesibe, Levaniv c, Tom, Linderholm, Hans, Manning, Sturt, Melvin, Thomas M., Miles, Daniel, Neuwirth, Burkhard, Nicolussi, Kurt, Nola, Paola, Panayotov, Momchil, Popa, Ionel, Rothe, Andreas, School of Earth & Environmental Sciences, Scottish Oceans Institute, Seager, Richard, Seftigen, Kristina, Seim, Andrea, Svarva, Helene, Svoboda, Miroslav, Tegel, Willy, Thun, Terje, Timonen, Mauri, Touchan, Ramzi, Trotsiuk, Volodymyr, Trouet, Valerie, Walder, Felix, Wazny, Tomasz, Wilson, Rob, Zang, Christian, Čufar, Katarina   +58 more
core   +2 more sources

Probability forecasts – Part 2: will people understand?

Weather, EarlyView.
Ensemble weather forecasts have been in use for many years to help forecasters understand uncertainty in weather predictions but are now becoming core to some operational NWP systems. Part 1 introduced the rationale for ensemble forecasts and the production of useful forecasts.
Ken Mylne
wiley   +1 more source

Extended Chronology of Drought in South Central, Southeastern, and West Texas

Texas Water Journal, 2011
Short instrumental climatic records prevent appropriate statistical and historical characterization of extreme events such as the extent, duration, and severity of multiyear droughts.
Malcolm K. Cleaveland, Todd H. Votteler, Daniel K. Stahle, Richard C. Casteel, Jay L. Banner   +4 more
doaj  

Performance of the operational ECMWF ensemble in predicting heavy rain associated with the Emilia‐Romagna flood in May 2023

Weather, EarlyView.
A devastating flood occurred in May 2023 in the Emilia‐Romagna region in northern Italy after 2 days with widespread accumulated precipitation exceeding 150mm. The event was associated with a quasi‐stationary upper‐level cutoff cyclone. This study investigates the performance of the operational ECMWF ensemble prediction system in capturing the cutoff ...
Hei Tung Wu, Katharina Hartmuth, Heini Wernli   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

A midsummer night’s screen

Weather, EarlyView.
The frequency of summer nights whose minimum temperature remains above a rarely exceeded threshold – such as the ‘Tropical Night’ 20°C requirement – provides one measure of climate warming. Unfortunately, relying on nocturnal temperature minima for this may select conditions when naturally ventilated thermometers, such as those housed within Stevenson ...
R. Giles Harrison, Stephen D. Burt
wiley   +1 more source

Long-term solar activity explored with wavelet methods [PDF]

Annales Geophysicae, 2006
Long-term solar activity has been studied with a set of wavelet methods. The following indicators of long-term solar activity were used; the group sunspot number, the sunspot number, and the 14C production rate.
H. Lundstedt, L. Liszka, R. Lundin, R. Muscheler   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Exploratory modeling: Extracting causality from complexity [PDF]

, 2014
On 22 May 2011 a massive tornado tore through Joplin, Mo., killing 158 people. With winds blowing faster than 200 miles per hour, the tornado was the most deadly in the United States since modern record keeping began in the 1950s. ©2014.
Coulthard, Tom, Eppinga, Maarten, Larsen, Laurel, Thomas, C W, Thomas, Chris   +4 more
core   +3 more sources