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Predicting party switching through machine learning and open data [PDF]

open access: yesiScience, 2023
Summary: Parliament dynamics might seem erratic at times. Predicting future voting patterns could support policy design based on the simulation of voting scenarios.
Nicolò Meneghetti   +6 more
doaj   +2 more sources

The Morality of Party Switching [PDF]

open access: yesJournal of Applied Philosophy, 2022
ABSTRACTParty switching by members of Parliament is a common phenomenon in democracies. Despite several empirical investigations of this phenomenon, party switching has not yet been investigated from a moral point of view. This article aims to fill this gap.
Bengtson, Andreas, Andreas Bengtson
openaire   +5 more sources

Party realignment and single-issue voters. [PDF]

open access: yesPLoS ONE
This paper studies the effect of a single-issue referendum on political party realignment. We consider the Conservative Party in the United Kingdom in the aftermath of a referendum on the British exit from the European Union.
Christian Cox, Ian Shapiro
doaj   +2 more sources

Explaining Party Switching in an Institutionalised Party System: The Case of South Africa

open access: yesJournal of Southern African Studies
Institutionalised party systems are said to foster stronger party allegiances and fewer switches. However, this expectation is called into question when we observe the case of South Africa. Despite being characterised by a highly institutionalised dominant party system as well as party-centred electoral and candidate selection rules, South Africa has ...
Edalina Sanches   +2 more
exaly   +3 more sources

Predicting and Explaining Party Switching: An Exploratory Study Based on the Theory of Planned Behavior [PDF]

open access: yesUirtus, 2021
Using the theory of planned behavior, this exploratory study predicts political party switching through attitude, subjective norms and behavioral intention, while perceived control appears not to play a statistically observable role.
Mayaki Fatchima, Issa Mamadel Bassirou
doaj   +1 more source

Zmiany afiliacji partyjnych w trakcie kadencji parlamentarnej a partyjne przywództwo populistyczne. Analiza porównawcza przypadków Czech, Litwy i Polski

open access: yesPoliteja, 2022
LEGISLATIVE PARTY SWITCHING AND POPULIST PARTY LEADERSHIP: A COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF THE CZECH, LITHUANIAN, AND POLISH LEGISLATURES The aim of this article is to empirically demonstrate whether parliamentary groups led by populist leaders are more ...
Przemysław Żukiewicz
doaj   +1 more source

Staying With the Party, Switching or Exiting? A Comparative Analysis of Determinants of Party Switching and Abstaining [PDF]

open access: yesJournal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties, 2015
A large body of literature has investigated the factors that lead to abstention on the one hand or vote volatility on the other hand. We argue in this paper that the most fruitful approach is to simultaneously consider the exit, voice, and loyalty options.
Dassonneville, Ruth   +2 more
openaire   +1 more source

Party system change between elections: Evidence from the 18th Italian legislature

open access: yesItalian Political Science, 2023
Party systems and party system change have long been one of the most studied topics within the comparative politics literature, yet most work in this field focuses on changes that occur between elections, neglecting the possibility that parties and ...
Luca Pinto
doaj   +4 more sources

“Mass,” “Movement,” “Personal,” or “Cartel” Party? Fidesz’s Hybrid Organisational Strategy

open access: yesPolitics and Governance, 2021
In the last decade, Fidesz has dominated the Hungarian political landscape, becoming the most extensive Hungarian party organisation in terms of party members, structuration, resources, and influence.
Rudolf Metz, Réka Várnagy
doaj   +1 more source

Transfuguismo parlamentario en Guatemala: un caso de altos costos de asociación, monopolio partidario y bajos costos de transacción

open access: yesAmérica Latina Hoy, 2010
RESUMEN: A diferencia del resto de países en Centroamérica, el alto índice de transfuguismo parlamentario ha generado un gran interés en Guatemala. En términos generales, el transfuguismo se ha visto como algo negativo con serias repercusiones sobre la ...
Javier FORTIN
doaj   +3 more sources

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