Components of the indirect effect in vaccine trials: identification of contagion and infectiousness effects [PDF]
Vaccination of one person may prevent the infection of another either because (i) the vaccine prevents the first from being infected and from infecting the second or because (ii) even if the first person is infected, the vaccine may render the infection ...
Halloran, M. Elizabeth +2 more
core +2 more sources
An application of the theory of probabilities to the study of a priori pathometry.—Part III [PDF]
(i) Variable Happening .—In Section IX, we commenced by touching upon the necessity of studying the effect of changes in the happening-element, but there dealt only with the case of hypometric happening. We now proceed to examine other changes in this element.
openaire +1 more source
Evaluation of Barley Genotypes Against Spot Blotch Disease in Inner Tarai Region of Nepal [PDF]
Spot blotch caused by Bipolaris sorokiniana (Sacc. in Sorok.) Shoem. is an important disease of barley (Hordeum vulgare L.). A total of 126 barley genotypes received from Hill Crops Research Program, Kabre, Dolakha having SoluUwa as a susceptible check ...
Gurung, S. (Sukbahadur) +4 more
core
A model for transmission of partial resistance to anti-malarial drugs. [PDF]
Anti-malarial drug resistance has been identified in many regions for a long time. In this paper we formulate a mathematical model of the spread of anti-malarial drug resistance in the population.
Syafruddin D
core +1 more source
Systematic description of COVID-19 pandemic using exact SIR solutions and Gumbel distributions [PDF]
An epidemiological study is carried out in several countries analyzing the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic using the SIRmodel and Gumbel distribution. The equations of the SIR model are solved exactly using the proper time as a parameter.
Amaro Soriano, José Enrique
core +3 more sources
Village-scale persistence and elimination of gambiense human African trypanosomiasis [PDF]
Gambiense human African trypanosomiasis (gHAT) is one of several neglected tropical diseases that is targeted for elimination by the World Health Organization. Recent years have seen a substantial decline in the number of globally reported cases, largely
Davis, Christopher N. +3 more
core +1 more source
In this paper, we present stochastic synchronous cellular automaton defined on a square lattice. The automaton rules are based on SEIR model with probabilistic parameters gathered from real-world data on human mortality and SARS-CoV-2 disease ...
Biernacki, Szymon, Malarz, Krzysztof
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Optimal treatment allocations in space and time for on-line control of an emerging infectious disease [PDF]
A key component in controlling the spread of an epidemic is deciding where, whenand to whom to apply an intervention.We develop a framework for using data to informthese decisionsin realtime.We formalize a treatment allocation strategy as a sequence of ...
Agarwal A. +38 more
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Field management of Taro (Colocasia esculenta (L.) Schott) leaf blight via fungicidal spray of foliage [PDF]
Taro leaf blight (TLB) epidemic hit Cameroon for the first time in 2009. Since then, the disease is persistent and its typical devastating legacy is threatening Taro (Colocasia esculenta) in the North and South West Regions of Cameroon.
Mbi, Tabi Kingsley +3 more
core +2 more sources
Compositional Modeling with Stock and Flow Diagrams
Stock and flow diagrams are widely used in epidemiology to model the dynamics of populations. Although tools already exist for building these diagrams and simulating the systems they describe, we have created a new package called StockFlow, part of the ...
Baez, John +4 more
core +1 more source

