Landscape and domains of possible future threats from a societal point of view
Abstract We are currently amid multiple interconnected and complex crises within the different dimensions of our society—a polycrisis, and the future promises even greater complexity in terms of threats. However, the existing crisis typologies and crisis identification often have an introspective organisational focus and tend to concentrate on a ...
Lassi Tähtinen +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Violence in Mexico: the politicides in Puebla from 2010-2020
This paper argues that the decision making of the political class is one of the main causes of violence and poverty, by presenting statistics that show the evolution of violence in the state of Puebla, Mexico, evidencing manifestations of violence: kidnappings, extortions and murders in the political class.
openaire +2 more sources
Around the “G” Word: From Raphael Lemkin’s Definition to Current Memorial and Academic Controversies [PDF]
The term “genocide” has generated passion and misunderstanding since its coining in 1944 by Raphael Lemkin. Applying this term to very heterogeneous historical and current situations brings up many objections and debates.
Sémelin, Jacques
core +1 more source
Risk assessment models and early warning systems [PDF]
This paper addresses model design and data-related issues pertaining to the use of risk assessment models in support of conflict early warning systems. The paper first examines the data needed for risk assessment models. It argues that there are actually
Brecke, Peter
core
The intensity of the Rwandan genocide: Fine measures from the gacaca records [PDF]
This article demonstrates how fine continuous and categorical measures of genocide intensity can be derived from the records of the Rwandan transitional justice system. The data, which include the number of genocide suspects and genocide survivors across
Verpoorten, Marijke
core +1 more source
Conflict in the Caucasus [PDF]
Given the increased use of terrorist tactics in ethnic conflict and separatist movements over the past decade, an understanding of the causes of both ethnic conflict and separatism have become vital to the protection of innocent lives. This study focuses
Margaritis, Connie
core +1 more source
Asylum Recognition Rates in Western Europe - Their Determinants, Variation and Lack of Convergence [PDF]
Substantial variation in recognition rates for asylum claims from the same countries of origin and therefore prima facie equal merit subjects refugees to unfair and discriminatory treatment.
Eric Neumayer
core
Climate Change: A Threat to the Waning of War [PDF]
War remains a major threat to human security. However, despite many recent dramatic events, war is on the wane as a tool in human affairs. The number of ongoing armed conflicts, the lethality of war as measured by annual battle-deaths, and the incidence ...
Gleditsch, Nils Petter
core
Introducing the Targeted Mass Killing Dataset for the Study and Forecasting of Mass Atrocities [PDF]
This article describes a new data set for the study of genocide, politicide, and similar atrocities. Existing data sets have facilitated advances in understanding and policy-relevant applications such as forecasting but have been criticized for ...
Butcher, Charles +4 more
core +1 more source
Economic and Political Causes of Genocidal Violence: A comparison with findings on the causes of civil war [PDF]
Genocide is different from civil war: it usually involves deaths on a much larger scale and targets particular groups – mostly civilians - often with the aim of exterminating them.
Frances Stewart
core

