Results 11 to 20 of about 41,870 (312)
Poll of Polls: A Compositional Loess Model [PDF]
Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, 2013 ABSTRACTA large number of polls on party preferences are published today. In order to obtain an estimate of the changes in political opinion, the polls may be combined into a poll of polls. We discuss a method for combining polls using the fact that they are compositions and respecting the properties of the compositional sample space (the simplex). The
Bergman, Jakob, Holmquist, Björn
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Poll Workers and Polling Places [PDF]
, 2014 In the year after the 2000 presidential election debacle in Florida, there was a sharp focus by many organizations, commissions, and interest groups to determine how to address the problems associated with ensuring that the events of November 2000 did not occur again (e.g., Carter and Ford 2001; VTP 2001).
Hall, Thad E., Moore, Kathleen
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Losing in the Polls, Time Pressure, and the Decision to Go Negative in Referendum Campaigns
Politics and Governance, 2019 Why do parties and candidates decide to go negative? Research usually starts from the assumption that this decision is strategic, and within this framework two elements stand out: the prospect of electoral failure increases the use of negative ...
Alessandro Nai, Ferran Martínez i Coma
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A polling model with reneging at polling instants [PDF]
Annals of Operations Research, 2010 In this paper we consider a single-server, cyclic polling system with switch-over times and Poisson arrivals. The service disciplines that are discussed, are exhaustive and gated service. The novel contribution of the present paper is that we consider the reneging of customers at polling instants.
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RESULTS OF 2011 STATE DUMA ELECTIONS: SOCIOLOGICAL ANALYSIS
Сравнительная политика, 2015 : Sociological forecasting of political processes arose as a powerful industry. Nevertheless, results of the polls conducted by the major agencies diverged significantly with the voting in 2011 State Duma elections.
Larisa Fedotova
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Information, incentives, and goals in election forecasts
Judgment and Decision Making, 2020 Presidential elections can be forecast using information from political and economic conditions, polls, and a statistical model of changes in public opinion over time.
Andrew Gelman +3 more
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Editorial polling systems [PDF]
Annals of Operations Research, 2012 From the issue entitled "Polling Stations".
Ivo J. B. F. Adan, Erik M. M. Winands
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QOE-IJES, 2023 The article presents the results of a research on electoral polls disseminated by the mass media in Italy and published on the institutional website www.sondaggipoliticoelettorali.it. All the electoral polls published on the institutional website from 1
Giovanni Di Franco
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BioTechniques, 2008 ScienceDebate and Scientists and Engineers for America have compiled invaluable data on the Science policy positions of American candidates at every level. We owe it to ourselves to take this information to the polls.
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The Polls and the U.S. Presidential Election in 2020 …. and 2024
Statistics and Public Policy, 2023 Arguably, the single greatest determinant of U.S. public policy is the identity of the president. And if trusted, polls not only provide forecasts about presidential-election outcomes but can act to shape those outcomes.
Arnold Barnett, Arnaud Sarfati
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