Results 21 to 30 of about 60,198 (202)
Macroeconomic forecasting during recessions and expansions in the US and the euro area
Economic Inquiry, EarlyView.Abstract This study systematically evaluates forecasting performance of 11 Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) and 2 Bayesian Vector Autoregression (BVAR) models during recessions and expansions in the US and the euro area. Results show that no single model dominates: parsimonious models perform well in stable periods and at short horizons ...
Jan Čapek +2 more
wiley +1 more source
When in Doubt, Tax More Progressively? Uncertainty and Progressive Income Taxation
International Economic Review, EarlyView.ABSTRACT We study the optimal income tax problem under parameter uncertainty about household preferences and wage dynamics. We derive conditions characterizing how such uncertainty affects optimal tax policy. To quantify the effect, we estimate a life‐cycle model using US data and a Bayesian approach.
Minsu Chang, Chunzan Wu
wiley +1 more source
How Does Progressivity Affect the Tax Cut Multiplier?
International Economic Review, EarlyView.ABSTRACT How does the targeting of personal income tax cuts affect the output multiplier? This paper provides quantitative evidence using a heterogeneous‐agent New‐Keynesian model calibrated to match US distributions of income, wealth, marginal tax rates, and marginal propensities to consume.
Christian Gillitzer
wiley +1 more source
Financial Fragility and the Fiscal Multiplier
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, EarlyView.Abstract We show that undercapitalized banks with large holdings of government bonds subject to sovereign default risk lead to a new crowding‐out channel: deficit‐financed fiscal stimuli lead to higher bond yields, triggering capital losses for the banks. Banks then cut back loans, which reduces fiscal multipliers.
CHRISTIAAN VAN DER KWAAK +1 more
wiley +1 more source
Interest Rate Pegs and the Reversal Puzzle: On the Role of Anticipation
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, EarlyView.Abstract We revisit the reversal puzzle: a counterintuitive contraction of inflation in response to an interest rate peg. We show that its occurrence is intimately related to the degree of agents' anticipation. If agents perfectly anticipate the peg, reversals occur depending on the duration of the peg.
RAFAEL GERKE +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Policing the Environmental Crisis: Climate Protest, the State, and Law and Order
Constellations, EarlyView.
Oscar Talbot
wiley +1 more source
Monetary and Macroprudential Policies under Dollar‐Denominated Foreign Debt
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, EarlyView.Abstract This paper studies monetary and macroprudential policies in a small open economy that borrows from abroad in foreign currency. The model features a novel mechanism in which exchange rate depreciation triggered by a borrowing constraint is amplified through balance of payments adjustments, increasing the real burden of foreign debt and causing ...
HIDEHIKO MATSUMOTO
wiley +1 more source
Policy Biases in a Model with Labor‐Market Frictions
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, EarlyView.Abstract We develop a model with labor‐market matching frictions that is subject to a range of shocks, including shocks to matching efficiency and bargaining power, and use the model to examine how monetary policy should respond to such shocks. We show that optimal monetary policy responds effectively to these shocks, producing economic outcomes that ...
RICHARD DENNIS, TATIANA KIRSANOVA
wiley +1 more source
Post-Walrasian Economics: A Marxist Critique [PDF]
, 2016 Post-Walrasian economics is the result of a conver- gence between heterodox schools, such as new institutionalism, new Keynesian economics and radical political economics. The debate on power develops mainly within this methodological framework. Liberals
Palermo, Giulio
core +1 more source
Schumpeter Meeting Keynes: A Policy-Friendly Model of Endogenous Growth and Business Cycles [PDF]
This paper studies an agent-based model that bridges Keynesian theories of demand generation and Schumpeterian theories of technology-fueled economic growth.
Andrea Roventini +2 more
core +3 more sources