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Predictability and Predictions
Atmosphere, 2022 This essay describes the author’s lifetime experiences with predictability theory and weather predictions.
Richard A. Anthes
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Explain and Predict, and then Predict Again [PDF]
Proceedings of the 14th ACM International Conference on Web Search and Data Mining, 2021 Accepted in the WSDM ...
Zijian Zhang 0006 +2 more
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The AEMET-γSREPS over the Antarctic Peninsula and the impact of kilometric-resolution EPS on logistic activities on the continent [PDF]
Advances in Science and Research, 2020 Kilometric-resolution Ensemble Prediction Systems (EPSs) will be the new state-of-the-art forecasting tools for short-range prediction in the following decade.
S. Gonzalez +4 more
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Predicting Bond Return Predictability [PDF]
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2020 This paper provides empirical evidence on predictable time variations in out-of-sample bond return predictability. Bond return predictability is associated with periods of high (low) economic activity (uncertainty), which implies that violations of the expectations hypothesis are state dependent and linked to features of the business cycle. These state
Daniel Borup +3 more
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Rapid Spaceborne Mapping of Wildfire Retardant Drops for Active Wildfire Management
Remote Sensing, 2023 Aerial application of fire retardant is a critical tool for managing wildland fire spread. Retardant applications are carefully planned to maximize fire line effectiveness, improve firefighter safety, protect high-value resources and assets, and limit ...
Jerry D. Tagestad +2 more
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Investigating the Impact of Business Strategies on Innovative Performance (Case Study; Ministry of Defense Companies) [PDF]
بهبود مدیریت, 2023 In today's world, innovation is a very important issue for all industries, including the defense industry, because innovations are needed to support defense power.
Amirhosein saadat +3 more
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Prediction of Overoptimistic Predictions [PDF]
Electronic Workshops in Computing, 2006 Overoptimistic predictions are common in software engineering projects, e.g., the average software project cost overrun is about 30%. This paper examines the use of two popular general tests of optimism (the ASQ and the LOT-R test) to select software engineers that are less likely to provide overoptimistic predictions.
Magne Jørgensen, Bjørn Faugli
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Predicting the accuracy of genomic predictions [PDF]
Genetics Selection Evolution, 2021 Abstract Background Mathematical models are needed for the design of breeding programs using genomic prediction. While deterministic models for selection on pedigree-based estimates of breeding values (PEBV) are available, these have not been fully developed for genomic selection, with a key missing component being the ...
Dekkers, Jack C. M. +2 more
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Sampling error of observation impact statistics [PDF]
Tellus: Series A, Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 2014 An observation impact is an estimate of the forecast error reduction by assimilating observations with numerical model forecasts. This study compares the sampling errors of the observation impact statistics (OBIS) of July 2011 and January 2012 using two ...
Sung-Min Kim, Hyun Mee Kim
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Heliyon, 2023 Heat waves are meteorological disasters that inflict damage on public health and societal systems over extensive areas. The frequency and intensity of heat waves are increasing in many regions worldwide.
Dae-Hui Kim, Hyun Mee Kim
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