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Comparison of non-homogeneous regression models for probabilistic wind speed forecasting [PDF]
In weather forecasting, non-homogeneous regression (NR) is used to statistically post-process forecast ensembles in order to obtain calibrated predictive distributions.
Sebastian Lerch +1 more
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Adaptive Significance Levels in Tests for Linear Regression Models: The e-Value and P-Value Cases
The full Bayesian significance test (FBST) for precise hypotheses is a Bayesian alternative to the traditional significance tests based on p-values. The FBST is characterized by the e-value as an evidence index in favor of the null hypothesis (H).
Alejandra E. Patiño Hoyos +3 more
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A Central Limit Theorem for Predictive Distributions
Let S be a Borel subset of a Polish space and F the set of bounded Borel functions f:S→R. Let an(·)=P(Xn+1∈·∣X1,…,Xn) be the n-th predictive distribution corresponding to a sequence (Xn) of S-valued random variables.
Patrizia Berti +2 more
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Multi-Output Variational Gaussian Process for Daily Forecasting of Hydrological Resources
Water resource forecasting plays a crucial role in managing hydrological reservoirs, supporting operational decisions ranging from the economy to energy.
Julián David Pastrana-Cortés +4 more
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Meta-analysis Using Flexible Random-effects Distribution Models
Background: In meta-analysis, the normal distribution assumption has been adopted in most systematic reviews of random-effects distribution models due to its computational and conceptual simplicity.
Hisashi Noma +4 more
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On Johnson’s “Sufficientness” Postulates for Feature-Sampling Models
In the 1920s, the English philosopher W.E. Johnson introduced a characterization of the symmetric Dirichlet prior distribution in terms of its predictive distribution. This is typically referred to as Johnson’s “sufficientness” postulate, and it has been
Federico Camerlenghi, Stefano Favaro
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Dataset of distribution transformers for predictive maintenance
In electricity sector is possible to collect large quantities of data that contain information on relevant processes and events that occur in a given period.
Diego-A Bravo M +2 more
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A brief look into Bayesian statistics in cardiology data analysis
Bayesian statistics assesses probabilistically all sources of uncertainty involved in a statistical study and uses Bayes’ theorem to sequentially update the information generated in the different phases of the study.
Carmen Armero +2 more
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The animal breeding values forecasting at futures times is a relevant technological innovation in the field of Animal Science, since its enables a previous indication of animals that will be either kept by the producer for breeding purposes or discarded.
Fabyano Fonseca e Silva +6 more
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Dynamic items delivery network: prediction and clustering
Items delivery companies generally use a model to minimize delivery costs. From a mathematical perspective, the model is an objective function that involves constraints.
Mokhammad R. Yudhanegara +2 more
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