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Presidential Popularity and Presidential Vote

Public Opinion Quarterly, 1982
The president's popularity rating is highly predictive of his vote share in a reelection bid, especially when popularity is assessed in June of that year. This June popularity-vote model predicts about as well as the Gallup final preelection poll, and a 50 percent approval rating will ensure reelection. Michael S.
Michael S. Lewis-Beck, Tom W. Rice
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Presidential Leadership

Annual Review of Psychology, 2005
This chapter reviews psychological theories of leadership and selected literature on the American presidency to highlight key psychological principles of presidential leadership. Psychological theories, framed by the principles of leadership outlined by Freud (1921), include those of Burns (1978, 2003) on transformational leadership, Bass (1997) and ...
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Presidential Conformity, Presidential Disobedience

2023
The American presidency is organized largely in reference to norms, or informal institutions. Though unofficial and unwritten, many presidential and political norms support good governance, facilitating interbranch relations, connecting the presidency with the public, and sustaining democracy by constraining presidential behavior.
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