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For more than 20 years, research has proven the beneficial effect of natural frequencies when it comes to solving Bayesian reasoning tasks (Gigerenzer and Hoffrage, 1995).
Patrick Weber+2 more
doaj +1 more source
Multivariate winning probabilities [PDF]
The research reported in this paper has been supported by Project TIN2014-59543-
Baets, Bernard de+2 more
core +2 more sources
Representation of Complex Probabilities [PDF]
Let a ``complex probability'' be a normalizable complex distribution $P(x)$ defined on $\R^D$. A real and positive probability distribution $p(z)$, defined on the complex plane $\C^D$, is said to be a positive representation of $P(x)$ if $\langle Q(x ...
Salcedo, L. L.
core +2 more sources
Malfunctions in radioactivity sensors' networks
The capacity to promptly and efficiently detect any source of contamination of the environment (a radioactive cloud) at a local and a country scale is mandatory to a safe and secure exploitation of civil nuclear energy. It must rely upon a robust network
Khalipova Veronika+3 more
doaj +1 more source
Taurek, numbers and probabilities [PDF]
In his paper, “Should the Numbers Count?" John Taurek imagines that we are in a position such that we can either save a group of five people, or we can save one individual, David. We cannot save David and the five.
A. Norcross+6 more
core +1 more source
ANALYSIS OF SERIAL QUEUES LINKED WITH NON-SERIAL SERVICE CHANNELS CHARACTERIZED BY FEEDBACK AND CUSTOMERS’ BEHAVIOUR [PDF]
This research primarily presents a model involving R-serial service channels connected to S non-serial service channels. Feedback mechanisms are applied to the serial queues, while balking and reneging behaviors, triggered by urgent calls/messages or ...
Sangeeta, Man Singh, Deepak Gupta
doaj +1 more source
Rules of thumb for conservation of metapopulations based on a stochastic winking-patch model [PDF]
From a theoretical viewpoint, nature management basically has two options to prolong metapopulation persistence: decreasing local extinction probabilities and increasing colonization probabilities. This article focuses on those options with a stochastic,
Etienne, R.S., Heesterbeek, J.A.P.
core +3 more sources
Transient handover blocking probabilities in road covering cellular mobile networks [PDF]
This paper investigates handover and fresh call blocking probabilities for subscribers moving along a road in a traffic jam passing through consecutive cells of a wireless network.
Boucherie, R.J., Wal, J. van der
core +4 more sources
Abstract In many economic decisions, people estimate probabilities, such as the likelihood that a risk materializes or that a job applicant will be a productive employee, by retrieving experiences from memory. We model this process based on two established regularities of selective recall: similarity and interference.
Bordalo, Pedro+4 more
openaire +3 more sources
GENESIS – The GENEric SImulation System for Modelling State Transitions
This software implements a discrete time Markov chain model, used to model transitions between states when the transition probabilities are known 'a priori'.
Matthew S. Gillman
doaj +1 more source