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Elicitation of Personal Probabilities and Expectations
, 1971Proper scoring rules, i.e., devices of a certain class for eliciting a person's probabilities and other expectations, are studied, mainly theoretically but with some speculations about application.
L. J. Savage
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Neurosurgery, 1979
Probability theory asserts the lawfulness of seemingly random events in large populations and seems to be a reasonable approach to a general understanding of the structure and function of the nervous system. The brain, by virtue of the number of its components, the multiplicity of their possible interconnections, and the range and rapidity of their ...
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Probability theory asserts the lawfulness of seemingly random events in large populations and seems to be a reasonable approach to a general understanding of the structure and function of the nervous system. The brain, by virtue of the number of its components, the multiplicity of their possible interconnections, and the range and rapidity of their ...
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2015
Rather than entailing that a particular outcome will occur, many scientific theories only entail that an outcome will occur with a certain probability. Because scientific evidence inevitably falls short of conclusive proof, when choosing between different theories it is standard to make reference to how probable the various options are in light of the ...
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Rather than entailing that a particular outcome will occur, many scientific theories only entail that an outcome will occur with a certain probability. Because scientific evidence inevitably falls short of conclusive proof, when choosing between different theories it is standard to make reference to how probable the various options are in light of the ...
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American Journal of Orthodontics and Dentofacial Orthopedics, 1995
The clinical study of the treatment of a sample of Class II malocclusions was made. This information from both successful and unsuccessful Class II malocclusion correction was recorded. The objective of the study was to determine whether there are predictive characteristics of Class II cases that could give, with reasonable accuracy, an indication of ...
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The clinical study of the treatment of a sample of Class II malocclusions was made. This information from both successful and unsuccessful Class II malocclusion correction was recorded. The objective of the study was to determine whether there are predictive characteristics of Class II cases that could give, with reasonable accuracy, an indication of ...
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The Probability of a Probability
Hospital Practice, 1990Jerome P. Kassirer, Richard I. Kopelman
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A Philosophical Essay On Probabilities
Pierre-Simon Laplace (1749-1827) is remembered amoung probabilitists today particularly for his "Theorie analytique des probabilites", published in 1812.
P. Laplace
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2004
This chapter begins with a concise primer, or aide memoire, of probability theory. The fundamentals are recapitulated, drawing on the material of Chap. 4. Moments of distributions are reviewed. The theory of runs (successions of similar events preceded and succeeded by different events), which is useful for analysing nucleic acid sequences and series ...
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This chapter begins with a concise primer, or aide memoire, of probability theory. The fundamentals are recapitulated, drawing on the material of Chap. 4. Moments of distributions are reviewed. The theory of runs (successions of similar events preceded and succeeded by different events), which is useful for analysing nucleic acid sequences and series ...
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The Only Probability Is Verbal Probability
Metaphysica, 2014Abstract In 1977 van Fraassen showed convincingly, and in detail, how one can give a dissentive answer to the question “[a]re there necessities in nature?”. In this paper, I follow his lead and show in a similar fashion and detail, how it is possible to give a dissentive answer to: Are there probabilities in nature?
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Chervonenkis: On the uniform convergence of relative frequencies of events to their probabilities
, 1971V. Vapnik
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