Modelling conditional probabilities with Riemann-Theta Boltzmann Machines [PDF]
The probability density function for the visible sector of a Riemann-Theta Boltzmann machine can be taken conditional on a subset of the visible units. We derive that the corresponding conditional density function is given by a reparameterization of the ...
Stefano Carrazza +2 more
openalex +4 more sources
Relevance differently affects the truth, acceptability, and probability evaluations of “and”, “but”, “therefore”, and “if–then” [PDF]
In this study we investigate the influence of reason-relation readings of indicative conditionals and ‘and’/‘but’/‘therefore’ sentences on various cognitive assessments. According to the Frege-Grice tradition, a dissociation is expected.
Kellen, David +3 more
core +1 more source
Efficient Bayesian estimation of Markov model transition matrices with given stationary distribution [PDF]
Direct simulation of biomolecular dynamics in thermal equilibrium is challenging due to the metastable nature of conformation dynamics and the computational cost of molecular dynamics.
Noe, Frank +1 more
core +3 more sources
The Subjective Probability of Conditionals and Its Formalizations
DOI: https://doi.org/10.26333/sts.xxxvii1.04 The aim of the paper is to discuss the problem of the assignment of the degree of belief to conditional sentences by a rational agent.
Anna Wójtowicz, Krzysztof Wójtowicz
doaj
Inference strength predicts the probability of conditionals better than conditional probability does [PDF]
According to the philosophical theory of inferentialism and its psychological counterpart, Hypothetical Inferential Theory (HIT), the meaning of an indicative conditional centrally involves the strength of the inferential connection between its antecedent and its consequent.
Douven, Igor +2 more
openaire +2 more sources
Physical and Metaphysical Counterfactuals: Evaluating Disjunctive Actions
The structural interpretation of counterfactuals as formulated in Balke and Pearl (1994a,b) [1, 2] excludes disjunctive conditionals, such as “had X$X$ been x1 or x2$x_1~\mbox{or}~x_2$,” as well as disjunctive actions such as do(X=x1 or X=x2)$do(X=x_1 ...
Pearl Judea
doaj +1 more source
Bayesian Decision Theory and Stochastic Independence [PDF]
As stochastic independence is essential to the mathematical development of probability theory, it seems that any foundational work on probability should be able to account for this property. Bayesian decision theory appears to be wanting in this respect.
Mongin, Philippe
core
The Identity principle says that conditionals with the form 'If p, then p' are logical truths. Identity is overwhelmingly plausible, and has rarely been explicitly challenged. But a wide range of conditionals nonetheless invalidate it.
Mandelkern, Matthew
core
Reconditioning the conditional [Recondicionando o condicional]
Many authors have hoped to understand the indicative conditional construction in everyday language by means of what are usually called conditional probabilities. Other authors have hoped to make sense of conditional probabilities in terms of the absolute
David Miller
doaj +2 more sources
Relevance and Conditionals: A Synopsis of Open Pragmatic and Semantic Issues [PDF]
Recently several papers have reported relevance effects on the cognitive assessments of indicative conditionals, which pose an explanatory challenge to the Suppositional Theory of conditionals advanced by David Over, which is influential in the ...
Skovgaard-Olsen, Niels
core

