Results 161 to 170 of about 27,151 (281)

On subset least squares estimation and prediction in vector autoregressive models with exogenous variables

open access: yesCanadian Journal of Statistics, EarlyView.
Abstract We establish the consistency and the asymptotic distribution of the least squares estimators of the coefficients of a subset vector autoregressive process with exogenous variables (VARX). Using a martingale central limit theorem, we derive the asymptotic normal distribution of the estimators. Diagnostic checking is discussed using kernel‐based
Pierre Duchesne   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Ability and knowledge: from epistemic transition systems to labelled stit models. [PDF]

open access: yesAuton Agent Multi Agent Syst
Kuncová A   +3 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Optimal dividends for a NatCat insurer in the presence of a climate tipping point

open access: yesCanadian Journal of Statistics, EarlyView.
Abstract We study optimal dividend strategies for an insurance company facing natural catastrophe claims, anticipating the arrival of a climate tipping point after which the claim intensity and/or the claim size distribution of the underlying risks deteriorates irreversibly.
Hansjörg Albrecher   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Hidden Markov graphical models with state‐dependent generalized hyperbolic distributions

open access: yesCanadian Journal of Statistics, EarlyView.
Abstract In this article, we develop a novel hidden Markov graphical model to investigate time‐varying interconnectedness between different financial markets. To identify conditional correlation structures under varying market conditions and accommodate shape features embedded in financial time series, we rely upon the generalized hyperbolic family of ...
Beatrice Foroni   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

A Markov approach to credit rating migration conditional on economic states

open access: yesCanadian Journal of Statistics, EarlyView.
Abstract We develop a model for credit rating migration that accounts for the impact of economic state fluctuations on default probabilities. The joint process for the economic state and the rating is modelled as a time‐homogeneous Markov chain. While the rating process itself possesses the Markov property only under restrictive conditions, methods ...
Michael Kalkbrener, Natalie Packham
wiley   +1 more source

Isoperimetric inequalities on slabs with applications to cubes and Gaussian slabs

open access: yesCommunications on Pure and Applied Mathematics, EarlyView.
Abstract We study isoperimetric inequalities on “slabs”, namely weighted Riemannian manifolds obtained as the product of the uniform measure on a finite length interval with a codimension‐one base. As our two main applications, we consider the case when the base is the flat torus R2/2Z2$\mathbb {R}^2 / 2 \mathbb {Z}^2$ and the standard Gaussian measure
Emanuel Milman
wiley   +1 more source

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