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Guidance on quantitative pest risk assessment [PDF]

EFSA Journal, 2018
This Guidance describes a two‐phase approach for a fit‐for‐purpose method for the assessment of plant pest risk in the territory of the EU. Phase one consists of pest categorisation to determine whether the pest has the characteristics of a quarantine ...
EFSA Panel on Plant Health (PLH), Michael Jeger, Claude Bragard, David Caffier, Thierry Candresse, Elisavet Chatzivassiliou, Katharina Dehnen‐Schmutz, Jean‐Claude Grégoire, Josep Anton Jaques Miret, Alan MacLeod, Maria Navajas Navarro, Björn Niere, Stephen Parnell, Roel Potting, Trond Rafoss, Vittorio Rossi, Gregor Urek, Ariena Van Bruggen, Wopke Van Der Werf, Jonathan West, Stephan Winter, Andy Hart, Jan Schans, Gritta Schrader, Muriel Suffert, Virag Kertész, Svetla Kozelska, Maria Rosaria Mannino, Olaf Mosbach‐Schulz, Marco Pautasso, Giuseppe Stancanelli, Sara Tramontini, Sybren Vos, Gianni Gilioli   +33 more
doaj   +16 more sources

Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis in quantitative pest risk assessments; practical rules for risk assessors [PDF]

NeoBiota, 2013
Quantitative models have several advantages compared to qualitative methods for pest risk assessments (PRA). Quantitative models do not require the definition of categorical ratings and can be used to compute numerical probabilities of entry and establishment, and to quantify spread and impact.
David Makowski
core   +15 more sources

Inventory and review of quantitative models for spread of plant pests for use in pest risk assessment for the EU territory [PDF]

EFSA Supporting Publications, 2015
Robust modelling tools for predicting the spread and dispersal of plant pests are required for effective risk assessment of the impact of both novel and existing pests in the EU. The ongoing project OC/EFSA/PLH/2012/01 reviews the current state of the art in pest spread modelling to evaluate the fitness of alternative modelling strategies for various ...
Bullock, James, Chapman, Daniel, Hooftman, Danny, White, Steven   +3 more
core   +10 more sources

A suite of models to support the quantitative assessment of spread in pest risk analysis.

PLoS ONE, 2012
Pest Risk Analyses (PRAs) are conducted worldwide to decide whether and how exotic plant pests should be regulated to prevent invasion. There is an increasing demand for science-based risk mapping in PRA.
Christelle Robinet, Hella Kehlenbeck, Darren J Kriticos, Richard H A Baker, Andrea Battisti, Sarah Brunel, Maxime Dupin, Dominic Eyre, Massimo Faccoli, Zhenya Ilieva, Marc Kenis, Jon Knight, Philippe Reynaud, Annie Yart, Wopke van der Werf   +14 more
doaj   +9 more sources

The EFSA quantitative approach to pest risk assessment – methodological aspects and case studies

EPPO Bulletin, 2017
A new method for pest risk assessment and the identification and evaluation of risk‐reducing options is currently under development by the European Food Safety Authority (EFSA) Plant Health Panel. The draft method has been tested on pests of concern to the European Union (EU).
GILIOLI, Gianni, Schrader, G., Gréegoire, J. C., Macleod, A., Mosbach Schulz, O., Rafoss, T., Rossi, V., Urek, G. Urek, van der Werf W.   +8 more
openaire   +4 more sources

Hotspots for Plant Pests Introduction and quantitative pest risk assessment: HoPPI Project Final Report [PDF]

EFSA Supporting Publications
Abstract Despite national and international efforts to prevent non‐indigenous species’ introductions, the spread of transboundary plant pests has increased dramatically in recent years, and it seems inevitable that many more species will enter the EU in the future.
Maria Chiara Rosace, Martina Cendoya, Davide Nardi, Andrea Battisti, Giacomo Cavaletto, Lorenzo Marini, Antonio Vicent Civera, Giulia Mattion, Vittorio Rossi   +8 more
openaire   +2 more sources

A suite of simple models to support quantitative assessment of spread and impact in pest risk analysis

, 2011
Samenvatting van de sessie 'a suite of simple models to support quantitative assessment of spread and impact in pest risk analysis' op de KNPV-voorjaarsvergadering, 8 juni 2011.
van der Werf, W., Robinet, C., Kehlenbeck, H.   +2 more
openaire   +2 more sources

Outcome of the public consultation on the draft Guidance of the EFSA PLH Panel on quantitative pest risk assessment [PDF]

EFSA Supporting Publications, 2018
Gianni Gilioli, Andy Hart, Alan MacLeod, Wopke van der Werf, Olaf Mosbach‐Schulz, Giuseppe Stancanelli, Sybren Vos, Svetla Kozelska   +7 more
openaire   +3 more sources

A suite of simple models to support quantitative assessment of spread and impact in pest risk analysis – concepts and applications

, 2011
An assessment of the likelihood and extent of spread is an integral part of a pest risk analysis for quarantine measures. However, few tools - if any - are available to risk assessors to make an assessment of the spread as a dynamic process in space at the continental scale.
Robinet, Christelle, Kehlenbeck, Hella, van Der Werf, Wopke   +2 more
openaire   +4 more sources

SCAN‐Clim: a tool to support pest climate suitability analysis based on climate classification

EFSA Journal, 2022
EFSA pest categorisations and pest risk assessments include the assessment of the potential establishment of plant pests. Together with the presence of host plants, climate suitability analysis is an important element to analyse the likelihood of ...
European Food Safety Authority (EFSA), Andrea Maiorano   +1 more
doaj   +1 more source